Olympique de Marseille vs AFC Ajax, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Champions League · 2025-26

Olympique de Marseille

4 – 0

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Tue 30 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Olympique de Marseille vs AFC Ajax — Champions League .

Olympique de Marseille 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
AFC Ajax 8 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Taylor

11 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atlético de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Olympique de Marseille 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-30 Olympique de Marseille 4–0 AFC Ajax 2023-11-30 Olympique de Marseille 4–3 AFC Ajax 2023-09-21 AFC Ajax 3–3 Olympique de Marseille

Recent Form

Olympique de Marseille

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	AFC Ajax	H	4–0	W
26 Sep	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	2–1	W
22 Sep	Paris Saint-Germain FC	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	Real Madrid CF	A	1–2	L
12 Sep	FC Lorient	H	4–0	W
31 Aug	Olympique Lyonnais	A	0–1	L

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	NAC Breda	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	PSV	A	2–2	D
17 Sep	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
13 Sep	PEC Zwolle	H	3–1	W
30 Aug	FC Volendam	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille		AFC Ajax
#25	Position	#32
9	Points	6
8	Played	8
3 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 0 / 6
11	Scored	8
14	Conceded	21
-3	GD	-13
1.13	PPG	0.75
38%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 25th (9 pts). AFC Ajax are 32nd (6 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
Full Time. Olympique de Marseille beats AFC Ajax

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	5
Brian Brobbey	2
Chancel Mbemba	1
Steven Berghuis	1
Kenneth Taylor	1
Carlos Forbs	1
Jonathan Clauss	1
Chuba Akpom	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.88 Olympique de Marseille xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Olympique de Marseille to win 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Olympique de Marseille69% Draw17% AFC Ajax14%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.92

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	54%	46%
± 4.5	35%	65%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw

87%

Draw or AFC Ajax

31%

Olympique de Marseille or AFC Ajax

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Olympique de Marseille55% Draw33% AFC Ajax12%

Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

8.4%

3 – 1

7.9%

3 – 0

7.8%

1 – 1

6.7%

4 – 1

5.7%

1 – 0

5.6%

4 – 0

Actual

2 – 2

4.3%

3 – 2

4.1%

5 – 1

3.4%

5 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap	Olympique de Marseille covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	34%	—	66%
-2	34%	20%	46%
-1.5	54%	—	46%
-1	54%	19%	26%
-0.5	74%	—	26%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.