Sunday , 12 July 2026

Montreal Impact FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Thu 16 Jul 2026 · 23:30 UTC Stade Saputo

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 May D.C. United SC A 0–1 L
16 May Chicago Fire FC H 0–2 L
13 May Portland Timbers H 1–0 W
09 May Orlando City SC H 2–0 W
02 May Atlanta United FC A 1–0 W
25 Apr New York City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Chicago Fire FC A 1–2 L
16 May Charlotte FC A 1–3 L
09 May Internacional CF Miami H 2–4 L
02 May San Jose Earthquakes H 1–1 D
25 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Montreal Impact FC Toronto FC
#12 Position #11
14 Points 14
14 Played 14
4 / 2 / 8 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
22 Scored 22
31 Conceded 29
-9 GD -7
1.00 PPG 1.00
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

H2H

Predictions

1.92 Montreal Impact FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

Montreal Impact FC44% Draw23% Toronto FC33%

Both Teams to Score

Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.79

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Montreal Impact FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Toronto FC
56%
Montreal Impact FC or Toronto FC
77%

Half-Time Result

Montreal Impact FC31% Draw39% Toronto FC30%

Correct Score

1 – 1
9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Montreal Impact FC

Handicap Montreal Impact FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 18% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.