New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Atlanta United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 May | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Charlotte FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 42 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 12 / 12 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 49 | Scored | 52 |
| 45 | Conceded | 67 |
| +4 | GD | -15 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York City FC are 10th (42 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
6/5
31-45
6/8
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/6
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 16 G | 6 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Yankee Stadium will turn into a battlefield for New York City FC and Toronto FC.
- 2' Kevin Long catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 2.
- 7' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 12' With 2 assists to his name this season, Maxi Moralez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
- 17' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 19' A moment of madness from Matthew Longstaff on 19 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 20' The deadlock is broken! Hannes Wolf gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
- 25' Alonso Martinez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 25.
- 30' New York City FC is showing some good football. However, New York City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 49' What a moment for Mitja Ilenic! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
- 54' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 58' The whistle greets Tyrese Spicer as he departs to be replaced by Deandre Kerr.
- 63' Ola Brynhildsen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 67' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 67.
- 70' Tomas Romero has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 70 minutes.
- 71' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Malik Henry on 71 minutes.
- 71' New York City FC make a change. Birk Risa trudges off to be replaced by Kevin O'Toole on 71 minutes.
- 73' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Matthew Longstaff is withdrawn and Malik Henry gets his opportunity.
- 74' Kevin O'Toole is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 76' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Julian Fernandez on, Agustin Ojeda off on 76 minutes.
- 81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 84' New York City FC make a change. Maxi Moralez trudges off to be replaced by Jonathan Shore on 84 minutes.
- 85' New York City FC ring the changes. Alonso Martinez has done his job and it is now time for Monsef Bakrar to step up.
- 90' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York City FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 17
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Jonathan Shore 84'
- 80
- 8
-
5
Birk Risa ↓ Kevin O'Toole 71'
- 30
- 26
- 35
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 85'
Bench
- 19
- 18
-
22
Kevin O'Toole ↑ 71'
- 29
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 84'
-
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 76'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 85'
- 2
- 99
Coach
Pascal Jansen
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Richie Laryea 58'
- 1
- 17
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↓ Malik Henry 73'
- 9
- 7
- 6
- 14
- 23
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Deandre Kerr 58'
Bench
-
22
Richie Laryea ↑ 58'
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 58'
- 90
- 19
- 71
- 76
- 38
- 75
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 73'
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pozuelo | 8 |
| Santiago Rodriguez | 4 |
| Jesus Jimenez | 4 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Victor Vazquez | 2 |
| Jo Inge Berget | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.39
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + New York City FC to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
35%
New York City FC or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
4%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 21% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.