New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York City FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Toronto FC

Thu 3 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 2' Kevin Long

Y 19' Matthew Longstaff

Alonso Martinez 25' Y

Y 67' Maxime Dominguez

Y 71' Malik Henry

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 21 games · Avg 3.0 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-03 New York City FC 3–1 Toronto FC 2025-04-26 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC 2024-05-11 Toronto FC 2–3 New York City FC 2024-03-16 New York City FC 2–1 Toronto FC 2023-09-24 New York City FC 3–0 Toronto FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Toronto FC	H	3–1	W
28 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–1	L
12 Jun	Atlanta United FC	H	4–0	W
31 May	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
28 May	Houston Dynamo	H	0–3	L
25 May	Chicago Fire FC	H	3–1	W

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	New York City FC	A	1–3	L
28 Jun	Portland Timbers	H	3–0	W
25 Jun	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
31 May	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
28 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L
24 May	Nashville SC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York City FC		Toronto FC
#8	Position	#13
33	Points	29
27	Played	27
8 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	6 / 11 / 10
41	Scored	39
36	Conceded	51
+5	GD	-12
1.22	PPG	1.07
30%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/5

31-45

5/6

46-60

4/7

61-75

7/6

76+

9/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Toronto FC

Daniel Salloi	7 G	5 A
Josh Sargent	7 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Yankee Stadium that hosts another battle between New York City FC and Toronto FC.
2' Kevin Long has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 2.
7' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
12' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
17' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
19' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matthew Longstaff on 19.
20' Assisted by Mitja Ilenic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hannes Wolf makes no mistake. 1-0!
25' The referee calls foul for Alonso Martinez. He receives a card.
30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York City FC and Toronto FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
35' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
49' Magnificent from Mitja Ilenic! That is 3 goals in 293 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
54' New York City FC is showing some good football. However, New York City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
58' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Tyrese Spicer by Deandre Kerr on 58 minute.
63' Alonso Martinez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
67' Maxime Dominguez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 67.
70' GOAL! Tomas Romero scores on 70.
71' That looks like a foul for a card for Malik Henry.
71' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Birk Risa exits the field as Kevin O'Toole enters on 71.
73' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Matthew Longstaff is withdrawn and Malik Henry gets his opportunity.
74' A goal from the USA international Kevin O'Toole! He fires home on 74 to make it 4-0!
76' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Agustin Ojeda is replaced by Julian Fernandez.
81' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
84' New York City FC ring the changes. Maxi Moralez has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Shore to step up.
85' Fresh legs for New York City FC! Monsef Bakrar comes on to replace Alonso Martinez.
90' Justin Haak has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 20 cards already picked up this season.
The points are shared — New York City FC 3-1 Toronto FC. Honours even.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Pozuelo	8
Santiago Rodriguez	4
Jesus Jimenez	4
Ismael Tajouri	3
Valentin Castellanos	3
Jesus Medina	3
Victor Vazquez	2
Jo Inge Berget	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2025-07-03 New York City FC 3–1 Toronto FC W 2025-06-28 Montreal Impact FC 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-06-12 New York City FC 4–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-05-31 Nashville SC 2–2 New York City FC D 2025-05-28 New York City FC 0–3 Houston Dynamo L 2025-05-25 New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire FC W

Toronto FC Form

2025-07-03 New York City FC 3–1 Toronto FC L 2025-06-28 Toronto FC 3–0 Portland Timbers W 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-05-31 Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.41 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + New York City FC to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC66% Draw19% Toronto FC15%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.48

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Toronto FC

34%

New York City FC or Toronto FC

81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC48% Draw38% Toronto FC14%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

8.9%

1 – 1

8.7%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

3 – 0

2 – 2

4.9%

4 – 1

4.5%

0 – 0

4.4%

4 – 0

4.2%

1 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	19%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	21%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	9%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.