New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Atlanta United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 May | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 May | Houston Dynamo | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 May | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Charlotte FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 26 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 24 |
| 24 | Conceded | 32 |
| +7 | GD | -8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Toronto FC get us underway at Yankee Stadium.
- 2' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Long.
- 7' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Toronto FC winning 0% of all matches.
- 12' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 17' New York City FC have won 459 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 19' It’s gonna be a card for Matthew Longstaff.
- 20' Brilliant from the ! Hannes Wolf makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 20.
- 25' The referee calls foul for Alonso Martinez. He receives a card.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thiago Martins is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 40' Spain international Alonso Coello Camarero has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 49' The deadlock is broken! Mitja Ilenic gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
- 54' New York City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deandre Kerr is hanging Tyrese Spicer on the field on 58 minute.
- 63' Maxi Moralez, a Argentina , has 28 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 67' Maxime Dominguez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 70' Tomas Romero makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and New York City FC are in front.
- 71' A moment of madness from Malik Henry on 71 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 71' Another change for New York City FC made on 71 minute. Birk Risa leaves to be changed by Kevin O'Toole.
- 73' Malik Henry is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matthew Longstaff at the 73 minute mark.
- 74' Kevin O'Toole has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
- 76' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Agustin Ojeda exits the field as Julian Fernandez enters on 76.
- 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 84' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Jonathan Shore on, Maxi Moralez off on 84 minutes.
- 85' The New York City FC manager makes a substitution. Alonso Martinez departs to be replaced by Monsef Bakrar.
- 90' Aiden O'Neill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — New York City FC 3-1 Toronto FC.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 17
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Jonathan Shore 84'
- 80
- 8
-
5
Birk Risa ↓ Kevin O'Toole 71'
- 30
- 26
- 35
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 85'
Bench
- 19
- 18
-
22
Kevin O'Toole ↑ 71'
- 29
-
32
Jonathan Shore ↑ 84'
-
11
Julian Fernandez ↑ 76'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 85'
- 2
- 99
Coach
Pascal Jansen
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Richie Laryea 58'
- 1
- 17
-
8
Matthew Longstaff ↓ Malik Henry 73'
- 9
- 7
- 6
- 14
- 23
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↓ Deandre Kerr 58'
Bench
-
22
Richie Laryea ↑ 58'
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 58'
- 90
- 19
- 71
- 76
- 38
- 75
-
78
Malik Henry ↑ 73'
Coach
Robin Fraser
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pozuelo | 8 |
| Santiago Rodriguez | 4 |
| Jesus Jimenez | 4 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Victor Vazquez | 2 |
| Jo Inge Berget | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
New York City FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Toronto FC
32%
New York City FC or Toronto FC
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 21% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +1 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

