Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Thu 3 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jul Toronto FC H 3–1 W
28 Jun Montreal Impact FC A 0–1 L
12 Jun Atlanta United FC H 4–0 W
31 May Nashville SC A 2–2 D
28 May Houston Dynamo H 0–3 L
25 May Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
31 May Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
28 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
24 May Nashville SC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

New York City FC Toronto FC
#5 Position #12
26 Points 17
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
31 Scored 24
24 Conceded 32
+7 GD -8
1.44 PPG 0.94
39% Win % 17%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Toronto FC get us underway at Yankee Stadium.
  • 2' That looks like a foul for a card for Kevin Long.
  • 7' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Toronto FC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 12' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 17' New York City FC have won 459 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 19' It’s gonna be a card for Matthew Longstaff.
  • 20' Brilliant from the ! Hannes Wolf makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 20.
  • 25' The referee calls foul for Alonso Martinez. He receives a card.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Thiago Martins is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
  • 40' Spain international Alonso Coello Camarero has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robin Fraser might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Mitja Ilenic gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
  • 54' New York City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deandre Kerr is hanging Tyrese Spicer on the field on 58 minute.
  • 63' Maxi Moralez, a Argentina , has 28 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 67' Maxime Dominguez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 70' Tomas Romero makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and New York City FC are in front.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Malik Henry on 71 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • 71' Another change for New York City FC made on 71 minute. Birk Risa leaves to be changed by Kevin O'Toole.
  • 73' Malik Henry is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matthew Longstaff at the 73 minute mark.
  • 74' Kevin O'Toole has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 74 minutes.
  • 76' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Agustin Ojeda exits the field as Julian Fernandez enters on 76.
  • 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' A tactical swap from New York City FCJonathan Shore on, Maxi Moralez off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' The New York City FC manager makes a substitution. Alonso Martinez departs to be replaced by Monsef Bakrar.
  • 90' Aiden O'Neill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — New York City FC 3-1 Toronto FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.48 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: New York City FC to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC68% Draw19% Toronto FC13%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Toronto FC
32%
New York City FC or Toronto FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC50% Draw37% Toronto FC13%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.7%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 21% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.