Thursday , 2 July 2026

New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sat 16 Mar 2024 · 23:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Toronto FC H 2–1 W
09 Mar Portland Timbers H 1–2 L
03 Mar St. Louis City A 0–2 L
25 Feb Charlotte FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Chicago Fire FC H 1–0 W
07 Oct D.C. United SC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar New York City FC A 1–2 L
09 Mar Charlotte FC H 1–0 W
03 Mar New England Revolution A 1–0 W
25 Feb FC Cincinnati A 0–0 D
21 Oct Orlando City SC H 0–2 L
07 Oct New York Red Bulls A 0–3 L

Season Stats

New York City FC Toronto FC
#8 Position #11
19 Points 14
15 Played 14
5 / 4 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 5 / 6
25 Scored 22
21 Conceded 29
+4 GD -7
1.27 PPG 1.00
33% Win % 21%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
2/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.06 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC54% Draw23% Toronto FC23%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Toronto FC
46%
New York City FC or Toronto FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC40% Draw41% Toronto FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.