Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York City FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sun 24 Sep 2023 · 17:00 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Andres Perea 2' 1–0
Andres Jasson 45+4' 2–0
Julian Fernandez 54' 3–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Toronto FC H 3–0 W
20 Sep Orlando City SC H 2–0 W
16 Sep New York Red Bulls H 0–0 D
02 Sep Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–1 D
30 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 2–0 W
26 Aug FC Cincinnati A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep New York City FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep Internacional CF Miami A 0–4 L
16 Sep Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–2 L
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 3–1 W
26 Aug Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
20 Aug Montreal Impact FC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

New York City FC Toronto FC
#5 Position #12
26 Points 17
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
31 Scored 24
24 Conceded 32
+7 GD -8
1.44 PPG 0.94
39% Win % 17%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: New York City FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC65% Draw20% Toronto FC15%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
35%
New York City FC or Toronto FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC49% Draw39% Toronto FC12%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 22% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.