Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Oct | Nashville SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Sep | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #11 |
| 17 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| 24 | Scored | 30 |
| 32 | Conceded | 47 |
| -8 | GD | -17 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 17% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Toronto FC welcome Orlando City SC for this crunch clash at BMO Field.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Federico Bernardeschi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 49 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Alonso Coello Camarero on, Aime Mabika off on 18 minutes.
- 23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Cesar Araujo, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' Ramiro Enrique has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' It’s high time Óscar Pareja made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 48' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Orlando City SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' Sean Johnson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 61' The Orlando City SC manager makes a substitution. Gaston Gonzalez departs to be replaced by Ivan Angulo.
- 63' Brilliant from the ! Duncan McGuire makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 63.
- 64' The whistle greets Cristian Gutierrez as he departs to be replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty.
- 69' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 69 minute. Luca Petrasso leaves to be changed by Kyle Smith.
- 74' What composure from Duncan McGuire! The USA international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 78' Robin Jansson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrigo Schlegel on 78 minute.
- 80' Michael Bradley makes way for Latif Blessing at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toronto FC.
- 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Orlando City SC players.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 24
- 4
- 21
- 28
- 1
- 27
- 3
- 6
- 19
Bench
- 8
-
11
Latif Blessing ↑ 80'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 64'
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 64'
- 90
- 81
-
52
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 18'
- 83
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
Orlando City SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 15
- 11
- 8
- 31
- 21
-
22
Gaston Gonzalez ↓ Ivan Angulo 61'
- 26
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↓ Duncan McGuire 61'
-
20
Luca Petrasso ↓ Kyle Smith 69'
- 5
Bench
-
10
Mauricio Pereyra ↑ 61'
- 3
-
6
Robin Jansson ↑ 78'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 69'
-
77
Ivan Angulo ↑ 61'
- 17
- 99
-
13
Duncan McGuire ↑ 61'
- 23
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duncan McGuire | 5 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 3 |
| Martin Ojeda | 2 |
| Ercan Kara | 2 |
| Cesar Araujo | 2 |
| Jay Chapman | 2 |
| Dagur THorhallsson | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Orlando City SC Form
2023-10-21
Toronto FC
0–2
Orlando City SC
W
2023-10-07
Orlando City SC
3–2
New England Revolution
W
2023-10-05
Nashville SC
0–1
Orlando City SC
W
2023-09-30
Orlando City SC
3–0
Montreal Impact FC
W
2023-09-24
Orlando City SC
1–1
Internacional CF Miami
D
2023-09-20
New York City FC
2–0
Orlando City SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Orlando City SC
73%
Toronto FC or Orlando City SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

