Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Toronto FC

0 – 2

Full Time

Orlando City SC

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 22:20 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 63' Duncan McGuire

0–2 74' Duncan McGuire

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 17 games · Avg 3.2 goals Orlando City SC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC 2023-07-04 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC 2022-09-17 Orlando City SC 4–0 Toronto FC 2022-05-14 Toronto FC 0–1 Orlando City SC 2021-07-17 Toronto FC 1–1 Orlando City SC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	0–2	L
07 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
24 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–3	L
20 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–4	L

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Toronto FC	A	2–0	W
07 Oct	New England Revolution	H	3–2	W
05 Oct	Nashville SC	A	1–0	W
30 Sep	Montreal Impact FC	H	3–0	W
24 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–1	D
20 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Orlando City SC
#12	Position	#9
39	Points	46
34	Played	34
9 / 12 / 13	W / D / L	13 / 7 / 14
52	Scored	63
67	Conceded	78
-15	GD	-15
1.15	PPG	1.35
26%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Orlando City SC

0-15

5/5

16-30

10/10

31-45

5/8

46-60

10/10

61-75

7/5

76+

13/15

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	16 G	4 A
Antoine Griezmann	14 G	6 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Martin Ojeda, as he is very good at scoring at BMO Field with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
18' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Aime Mabika is withdrawn and Alonso Coello Camarero gets his opportunity.
23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
28' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lorenzo Insigne is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toronto FC and Orlando City SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
43' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
53' The 33-year-old Antonio Carlos has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
58' It looks surprising Toronto FC does not make any changes. Mauricio Pereyra has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
61' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Gaston Gonzalez exits the field as Ivan Angulo enters on 61.
63' Orlando City SC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Duncan McGuire on 63.
64' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty is hanging Cristian Gutierrez on the field on 64 minute.
69' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Luca Petrasso is replaced by Kyle Smith on 69 minute.
74' Goal! Duncan McGuire scores his 27 goal in 302 matches.
78' Time for substitution for Orlando City SC. Rodrigo Schlegel is replaced by Robin Jansson.
80' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Michael Bradley is withdrawn and Latif Blessing gets his opportunity.
85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
90' It is a cagey affair so far. Toronto FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Orlando City SC's compact 4-2-3-1.
The points are shared — Toronto FC 0-2 Orlando City SC. Honours even.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

25
Prince-Osei Owusu ↓ Deandre Kerr 64'
10
Federico Bernardeschi
24
Lorenzo Insigne
4
Michael Bradley ↓ Latif Blessing 80'
21
Jonathan Osorio
28
Raoul Petretta
1
Sean Johnson
27
Shane O'Neill
3
Cristian Gutierrez ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 64'
6
Aime Mabika ↓ Alonso Coello Camarero 18'
19
Kobe Franklin

Bench

Coach John Herdman

Orlando City SC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Óscar Pareja

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Duncan McGuire	5
Jonathan Osorio	3
Tesho Akindele	3
Martin Ojeda	3
Ercan Kara	2
Jay Chapman	2
Antoine Griezmann	2
Nani	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC L 2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-10-04 Charlotte FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2023-09-24 New York City FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-20 Internacional CF Miami 4–0 Toronto FC L

Orlando City SC Form

2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC W 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution W 2023-10-05 Nashville SC 0–1 Orlando City SC W 2023-09-30 Orlando City SC 3–0 Montreal Impact FC W 2023-09-24 Orlando City SC 1–1 Internacional CF Miami D 2023-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Orlando City SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.48 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.14 Orlando City SC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC25% Draw23% Orlando City SC52%

Actual: Orlando City SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.62

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

48%

Draw or Orlando City SC

75%

Toronto FC or Orlando City SC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC22% Draw39% Orlando City SC39%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.3%

1 – 2

8.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

1 – 3

6.2%

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

6.1%

0 – 1

5.2%

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

4.3%

0 – 0

1 – 0

3.4%

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Orlando City SC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	14%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	20%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.