New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #13 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 34 | Scored | 39 |
| 48 | Conceded | 51 |
| -14 | GD | -12 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 35% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 10 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC has kicked off!
- 5' Luka Gavran needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' Tom Barlow has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 5 goals to his name this season.
- 20' New York Red Bulls seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Raoul Petretta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' named a 4-4-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 45' GOAL! Tom Barlow fires home to make it 1-0!
- 46' The whistle greets Hassan Ndam as he departs to be replaced by Dylan Nealis.
- 48' Luquinhas makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 53' With 4 assists to his name this season, Prince-Osei Owusu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
- 58' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 63' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 64' Cassius Mailula is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franco Ibarra at the 64 minute mark.
- 65' A goal from the Brazil international Luquinhas! He fires home on 65 to make it 3-0!
- 69' The whistle greets Omir Fernandez as he departs to be replaced by Cameron Harper.
- 72' Toronto FC ring the changes. Prince-Osei Owusu has done his job and it is now time for Hugo Mbongue to step up.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty made 289 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Dru Yearwood is replacing John Tolkin for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty. He replaces Federico Bernardeschi on 82 minute.
- 85' Cory Burke is replacing Elias Manoel for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 90' New York Red Bulls currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 6
-
98
Hassan Ndam ↓ Dylan Nealis 46'
- 82
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Cameron Harper 69'
- 8
- 15
- 74
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Dru Yearwood 78'
-
11
Elias Manoel ↓ Cory Burke 85'
- 1
-
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Peter Stroud 69'
Bench
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 78'
- 18
-
7
Cory Burke ↑ 85'
-
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 46'
-
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 69'
- 19
-
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 69'
- 9
Coach
Tony Jouaux
Toronto FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 4
- 21
- 27
-
5
Franco Ibarra ↓ Cassius Mailula 64'
- 3
- 6
- 90
- 19
- 52
Bench
-
8
Victor Vazquez ↑ 72'
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↑ 64'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 82'
- 30
- 51
-
83
Hugo Mbongue ↑ 72'
-
12
Cassius Mailula ↑ 64'
Coach
Jon Conway
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
New York Red Bulls to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
37%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 23% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

