New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #12 |
| 25 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 4 / 7 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 29 | Scored | 24 |
| 39 | Conceded | 32 |
| -10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.39 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 39% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Red Bull Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their 4-4-1-1 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 3-5-2.
- 15' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' Brilliant from the ! Tom Barlow makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
- 46' New York Red Bulls manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dylan Nealis is hanging Hassan Ndam on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' A stunning finish from Luquinhas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jon Conway will be considering his options from the bench.
- 58' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 64' The crowd applauds Franco Ibarra as he leaves the pitch. Cassius Mailula steps in for Toronto FC.
- 65' The deadlock is broken! Luquinhas gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
- 69' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Omir Fernandez is replaced by Cameron Harper on 69 minute.
- 72' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hugo Mbongue is hanging Prince-Osei Owusu on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 78' Dru Yearwood is ready to make an impact after coming on for John Tolkin at the 78 minute mark.
- 82' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Bernardeschi on 82 minute.
- 85' New York Red Bulls make a change. Elias Manoel trudges off to be replaced by Cory Burke on 85 minutes.
- 90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- With this win, New York Red Bulls is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 6
-
98
Hassan Ndam ↓ Dylan Nealis 46'
- 82
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Cameron Harper 69'
- 8
- 15
- 74
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Dru Yearwood 78'
-
11
Elias Manoel ↓ Cory Burke 85'
- 1
-
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Peter Stroud 69'
Bench
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 78'
- 18
-
7
Cory Burke ↑ 85'
-
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 46'
-
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 69'
- 19
-
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 69'
- 9
Coach
Tony Jouaux
Toronto FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 4
- 21
- 27
-
5
Franco Ibarra ↓ Cassius Mailula 64'
- 3
- 6
- 90
- 19
- 52
Bench
-
8
Victor Vazquez ↑ 72'
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↑ 64'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 82'
- 30
- 51
-
83
Hugo Mbongue ↑ 72'
-
12
Cassius Mailula ↑ 64'
Coach
Jon Conway
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
New York Red Bulls to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

