New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 5–3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Austin FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Charlotte FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 16 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| New York Red Bulls | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 22 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 25 | Scored | 22 |
| 32 | Conceded | 29 |
| -7 | GD | -7 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 40% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' USA international Omir Fernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Toronto FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 283 games and scored 418 goals.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Tom Barlow adds to his 4 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Dylan Nealis. He replaces Hassan Ndam on 46 minute.
- 48' Luquinhas is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Franco Ibarra made 167 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 58' Toronto FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 63' Alonso Coello Camarero, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 64' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Franco Ibarra by Cassius Mailula on 64 minute.
- 65' Luquinhas makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 69' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Omir Fernandez has done his job and it is now time for Cameron Harper to step up.
- 72' The crowd applauds Prince-Osei Owusu as he leaves the pitch. Hugo Mbongue steps in for Toronto FC.
- 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toronto FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' Dru Yearwood has so much to prove this time. He replaces John Tolkin on 78 minute.
- 82' Another change for Toronto FC made on 82 minute. Federico Bernardeschi leaves to be changed by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty.
- 85' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 85 minute. Elias Manoel leaves to be changed by Cory Burke.
- 90' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- Another three points for New York Red Bulls.
Lineups
New York Red Bulls Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 6
-
98
Hassan Ndam ↓ Dylan Nealis 46'
- 82
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↓ Cameron Harper 69'
- 8
- 15
- 74
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Dru Yearwood 78'
-
11
Elias Manoel ↓ Cory Burke 85'
- 1
-
75
Daniel Edelman ↓ Peter Stroud 69'
Bench
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 78'
- 18
-
7
Cory Burke ↑ 85'
-
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 46'
-
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 69'
- 19
-
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 69'
- 9
Coach
Tony Jouaux
Toronto FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 4
- 21
- 27
-
5
Franco Ibarra ↓ Cassius Mailula 64'
- 3
- 6
- 90
- 19
- 52
Bench
-
8
Victor Vazquez ↑ 72'
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↑ 64'
-
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 82'
- 30
- 51
-
83
Hugo Mbongue ↑ 72'
-
12
Cassius Mailula ↑ 64'
Coach
Jon Conway
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lewis Morgan | 5 |
| Luquinhas | 3 |
| Tom Barlow | 3 |
| Emil Forsberg | 3 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Elias Manoel | 2 |
| Kemar Lawrence | 2 |
| Caden Clark | 2 |
Head to Head
New York Red Bulls Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.36
New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + New York Red Bulls to win 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
New York Red Bulls or Draw
84%
Draw or Toronto FC
35%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York Red Bulls win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.8%
Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls
| Handicap | New York Red Bulls covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 21% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.