Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Tom Barlow 45' 1–0
Luquinhas 48' 2–0
Luquinhas 65' 3–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Toronto FC H 3–0 W
04 Oct FC Cincinnati A 2–1 W
30 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 0–1 L
23 Sep D.C. United SC A 5–3 W
20 Sep Austin FC H 1–1 D
16 Sep New York City FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct New York Red Bulls A 0–3 L
04 Oct Charlotte FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
24 Sep New York City FC A 0–3 L
20 Sep Internacional CF Miami A 0–4 L
16 Sep Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls Toronto FC
#8 Position #12
25 Points 17
18 Played 18
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 3 / 8 / 7
29 Scored 24
39 Conceded 32
-10 GD -8
1.39 PPG 0.94
39% Win % 17%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 9 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Red Bull Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. New York Red Bulls in their 4-4-1-1 trying to find a way past Toronto FC's compact 3-5-2.
  • 15' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' Brilliant from the ! Tom Barlow makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 46' New York Red Bulls manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dylan Nealis is hanging Hassan Ndam on the field on 46 minute.
  • 48' A stunning finish from Luquinhas — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jon Conway will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 63' Over 63 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Franco Ibarra as he leaves the pitch. Cassius Mailula steps in for Toronto FC.
  • 65' The deadlock is broken! Luquinhas gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
  • 69' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Omir Fernandez is replaced by Cameron Harper on 69 minute.
  • 72' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hugo Mbongue is hanging Prince-Osei Owusu on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 78' Dru Yearwood is ready to make an impact after coming on for John Tolkin at the 78 minute mark.
  • 82' Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty has so much to prove this time. He replaces Federico Bernardeschi on 82 minute.
  • 85' New York Red Bulls make a change. Elias Manoel trudges off to be replaced by Cory Burke on 85 minutes.
  • 90' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • With this win, New York Red Bulls is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.18 New York Red Bulls xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Toronto FC xG
I would bet for: New York Red Bulls to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls64% Draw21% Toronto FC15%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw
85%
Draw or Toronto FC
36%
New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
New York Red Bulls45% Draw40% Toronto FC15%
Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap New York Red Bulls covers Push Toronto FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 22% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
36%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.