New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2023

New York Red Bulls

3 – 0

Full Time

Toronto FC

Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Tom Barlow 45' 1–0

Luquinhas 48' 2–0

Luquinhas 65' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 18 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toronto FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC 2023-05-17 Toronto FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls 2022-06-18 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Toronto FC 2022-03-05 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls 2021-07-21 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	Toronto FC	H	3–0	W
04 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Chicago Fire FC	H	0–1	L
23 Sep	D.C. United SC	A	5–3	W
20 Sep	Austin FC	H	1–1	D
16 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–0	D

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	0–3	L
04 Oct	Charlotte FC	A	0–3	L
30 Sep	FC Cincinnati	H	2–3	L
24 Sep	New York City FC	A	0–3	L
20 Sep	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–4	L
16 Sep	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Toronto FC
#11	Position	#12
42	Points	39
34	Played	34
12 / 6 / 16	W / D / L	9 / 12 / 13
48	Scored	52
62	Conceded	67
-14	GD	-15
1.24	PPG	1.15
35%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York Red Bulls to score. At the same time, Toronto FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Frankie Amaya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York Red Bulls.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
30' Alonso Coello Camarero is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York Red Bulls so far.
35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
40' Cassius Mailula needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
45' Tom Barlow does the damage! The net is bulging and New York Red Bulls surge ahead!
46' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 46 minute. Hassan Ndam leaves to be changed by Dylan Nealis.
48' GOAL! Luquinhas fires home to make it 2-0!
53' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Toronto FC winning 50% of all matches.
63' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
64' Cassius Mailula is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franco Ibarra at the 64 minute mark.
65' Brilliant from the ! Luquinhas makes it 3-0 with a superb finish on 65.
69' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Omir Fernandez is replaced by Cameron Harper.
72' Toronto FC make a change. Prince-Osei Owusu trudges off to be replaced by Hugo Mbongue on 72 minutes.
77' Toronto FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
78' Another substitution for New York Red Bulls to replace John Tolkin by Dru Yearwood on 78 minute.
82' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Federico Bernardeschi is replaced by Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty on 82 minute.
85' New York Red Bulls manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cory Burke is hanging Elias Manoel on the field on 85 minute.
90' Zambia international Aime Mabika has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
Toronto FC will have plenty to reflect on. New York Red Bulls were simply the better side today.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

16
Dru Yearwood ↑ 78'
18
Ryan Meara
7
Cory Burke ↑ 85'
12
Dylan Nealis ↑ 46'
17
Cameron Harper ↑ 69'
19
Wikelmann Carmona
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 69'
9
Jorge Hurtado

Coach Tony Jouaux

Toronto FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

25
Prince-Osei Owusu ↓ Hugo Mbongue 72'
10
Federico Bernardeschi ↓ Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty 82'
4
Michael Bradley ↓ Victor Vazquez 72'
21
Jonathan Osorio
27
Shane O'Neill
5
Franco Ibarra ↓ Cassius Mailula 64'
3
Cristian Gutierrez ↓ Raoul Petretta 64'
6
Aime Mabika
90
Luka Gavran
19
Kobe Franklin
52
Alonso Coello Camarero

Bench

8
Victor Vazquez ↑ 72'
28
Raoul Petretta ↑ 64'
7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty ↑ 82'
30
Tomas Romero
51
Adam Pearlman
83
Hugo Mbongue ↑ 72'
12
Cassius Mailula ↑ 64'

Coach Jon Conway

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lewis Morgan	5
Luquinhas	3
Tom Barlow	3
Emil Forsberg	3
Kemar Lawrence	2
Caden Clark	2
Elias Manoel	2
Brian White	2

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC W 2023-10-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-30 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Chicago Fire FC L 2023-09-23 D.C. United SC 3–5 New York Red Bulls W 2023-09-20 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Austin FC D 2023-09-16 New York City FC 0–0 New York Red Bulls D

Toronto FC Form

2023-10-07 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-10-04 Charlotte FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-30 Toronto FC 2–3 FC Cincinnati L 2023-09-24 New York City FC 3–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-20 Internacional CF Miami 4–0 Toronto FC L 2023-09-16 Toronto FC 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.14 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Toronto FC xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls64% Draw21% Toronto FC15%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes56% 0% No44%

Avg goals/match: 3.13

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

85%

Draw or Toronto FC

36%

New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York Red Bulls45% Draw41% Toronto FC14%

Actual: New York Red Bulls win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

8.8%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.8%

0 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 2

4.4%

4 – 1

3.7%

4 – 0

3.7%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Toronto FC covers
-2.5	21%	—	79%
-2	21%	19%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	23%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.