Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | Orlando City SC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Portland Timbers | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | New England Revolution | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 50 | Points | 77 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 23 / 8 / 3 |
| 66 | Scored | 71 |
| 52 | Conceded | 25 |
| +14 | GD | +46 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 41% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
27%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC get this one started.
- 5' Philadelphia Union is showing some good football. However, Philadelphia Union are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 304 games and scored 517 goals.
- 15' Sam Surridge has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Quinn Sullivan made 304 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' What composure from Jovan Lukic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 44' A goal from the Iraq international Ahmed Qasem! He fires home on 44 to make it 1-2!
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Patrick Yazbek argues furiously but the card stands.
- 50' Philadelphia Union seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Philadelphia Union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 60' With 5 assists to his name this season, Andy Najar is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
- 65' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Frankie Westfield is replaced by Nathan Harriel on 65 minute.
- 70' Olwethu Makhanya has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
- 74' Nashville SC ring the changes. Ahmed Qasem has done his job and it is now time for Jacob Shaffelburg to step up.
- 75' The whistle greets Danley Jean Jacques as he departs to be replaced by Indiana Vassilev.
- 80' Teal Bunbury is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
- 82' The Germany Hany Mukhtar breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 1-3!
- 84' The whistle greets Patrick Yazbek as he departs to be replaced by Gaston Brugman.
- 85' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Tai Baribo is replaced by Chris Donovan on 85 minute.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Edvard Tagseth argues furiously but the card stands.
- 88' Kai Wagner catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 90' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Bruno Damiani gets a card.
- 90' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Hany Mukhtar exits the field as Teal Bunbury enters on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Philadelphia Union 1-3 Nashville SC.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 10
- 33
- 21
- 5
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Bruno Damiani 65'
-
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Chris Donovan 85'
- 29
- 39
- 4
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 85'
- 15
-
19
Indiana Vassilev ↑ 75'
-
26
Nathan Harriel ↑ 65'
- 8
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 85'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↑ 65'
- 1
- 6
Coach
Bradley Carnell
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 25
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 84'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Teal Bunbury 90'
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Gaston Brugman 84'
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Jacob Shaffelburg 74'
Bench
-
7
Gaston Brugman ↑ 84'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 90'
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↑ 74'
- 23
- 24
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 84'
- 4
- 16
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daniel Gazdag | 6 |
| Sam Surridge | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Ahmed Qasem | 1 |
| Charles Sapong | 1 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 1 |
| Mikael Uhre | 1 |
| Randall Leal | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-03-16
Philadelphia Union
1–3
Nashville SC
L
2025-03-09
New England Revolution
0–2
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-03-02
Philadelphia Union
4–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2025-02-23
Orlando City SC
2–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2024-10-19
Philadelphia Union
1–2
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-10-05
Columbus Crew SC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Philadelphia Union or Nashville SC 74% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
59%
Draw or Nashville SC
67%
Philadelphia Union or Nashville SC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

