Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Mar | New England Revolution | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | Orlando City SC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 19 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Portland Timbers | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | New England Revolution | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #1 |
| 16 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 4 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 25 | Scored | 35 |
| 33 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | +21 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 22% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 8 G | 1 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Philadelphia Union have kicked off against Nashville SC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Sam Surridge has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 15 minutes.
- 20' Ahmed Qasem needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 33' A stunning finish from Jovan Lukic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 38' The 30-year-old Alex Muyl has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 43' It looks surprising Philadelphia Union does not make any changes. Daniel Lovitz has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 44' Ahmed Qasem does the damage! The net is bulging and Nashville SC surge ahead!
- 45' Patrick Yazbek catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 50' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 55' Nashville SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nashville SC winning 0% of all matches.
- 65' Nathan Harriel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Frankie Westfield at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' Jack Maher, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Ahmed Qasem is replaced by Jacob Shaffelburg on 74 minute.
- 75' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 75 minute. Danley Jean Jacques leaves to be changed by Indiana Vassilev.
- 80' Denmark international Mikkel Uhre has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 82' A stunning finish from Hany Mukhtar — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Patrick Yazbek exits the field as Gaston Brugman enters on 84.
- 85' Chris Donovan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tai Baribo on 85 minute.
- 87' It’s a booking for Nashville SC player. Edvard Tagseth gets a card.
- 88' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Kai Wagner gets a card.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruno Damiani on 90 minutes.
- 90' The whistle greets Hany Mukhtar as he departs to be replaced by Teal Bunbury.
- Full Time. Nashville SC beats Philadelphia Union
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 10
- 33
- 21
- 5
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Bruno Damiani 65'
-
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Chris Donovan 85'
- 29
- 39
- 4
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 85'
- 15
-
19
Indiana Vassilev ↑ 75'
-
26
Nathan Harriel ↑ 65'
- 8
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 85'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↑ 65'
- 1
- 6
Coach
Bradley Carnell
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 19
- 1
- 25
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 84'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Teal Bunbury 90'
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Gaston Brugman 84'
-
37
Ahmed Qasem ↓ Jacob Shaffelburg 74'
Bench
-
7
Gaston Brugman ↑ 84'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 90'
-
14
Jacob Shaffelburg ↑ 74'
- 23
- 24
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 84'
- 4
- 16
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daniel Gazdag | 6 |
| Sam Surridge | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Jovan Lukic | 1 |
| Ahmed Qasem | 1 |
| Charles Sapong | 1 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 1 |
| Mikael Uhre | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-03-16
Philadelphia Union
1–3
Nashville SC
L
2025-03-09
New England Revolution
0–2
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-03-02
Philadelphia Union
4–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2025-02-23
Orlando City SC
2–4
Philadelphia Union
W
2024-10-19
Philadelphia Union
1–2
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-10-05
Columbus Crew SC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Philadelphia Union or Nashville SC 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
56%
Draw or Nashville SC
70%
Philadelphia Union or Nashville SC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.8%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.