Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 18:25 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Nashville SC H 1–3 L
09 Mar New England Revolution A 2–0 W
02 Mar FC Cincinnati H 4–1 W
23 Feb Orlando City SC A 4–2 W
19 Oct FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
05 Oct Columbus Crew SC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Philadelphia Union A 3–1 W
09 Mar Portland Timbers H 2–0 W
02 Mar New York Red Bulls A 0–2 L
23 Feb New England Revolution H 0–0 D
19 Oct Chicago Fire FC A 3–0 W
06 Oct New York City FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Nashville SC
#6 Position #1
39 Points 60
27 Played 27
11 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 18 / 6 / 3
54 Scored 55
44 Conceded 21
+10 GD +34
1.44 PPG 2.22
41% Win % 67%

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A
Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Subaru Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Ahmed Qasem needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' What composure from Sam Surridge! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 20' Joe Willis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' Against the run of play, Jovan Lukic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 44' Assisted by Daniel Lovitz with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ahmed Qasem makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 45' Patrick Yazbek was booked on 45.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Nashville SC winning 0% of all matches.
  • 55' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Nathan Harriel gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Frankie Westfield and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 293 games and scored 491 goals.
  • 74' The whistle greets Ahmed Qasem as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Shaffelburg.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Indiana Vassilev on, Danley Jean Jacques off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 82' A goal from the Germany international Hany Mukhtar! He fires home on 82 to make it 1-3!
  • 84' Nashville SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gaston Brugman is hanging Patrick Yazbek on the field on 84 minute.
  • 85' Tai Baribo makes way for Chris Donovan at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Edvard Tagseth is booked for Nashville SC — card on 87.
  • 88' Kai Wagner is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
  • 90' Philadelphia Union player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Teal Bunbury gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Hany Mukhtar and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.78 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: Philadelphia Union or Nashville SC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union33% Draw26% Nashville SC41%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
59%
Draw or Nashville SC
67%
Philadelphia Union or Nashville SC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union24% Draw43% Nashville SC33%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
7%
0 – 1
6.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
5%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.