Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Atlanta United FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
10 Aug St. Louis City A 1–3 L
26 Jul San Diego FC A 0–1 L
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Nashville SC A 1–0 W
24 Aug Toronto FC H 0–0 D
17 Aug Colorado Rapids SC A 1–3 L
09 Aug Montreal Impact FC A 1–1 D
26 Jul Seattle Sounders FC H 2–2 D
19 Jul Charlotte FC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Atlanta United FC
#1 Position #14
60 Points 27
27 Played 27
18 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 14
55 Scored 32
21 Conceded 45
+34 GD -13
2.22 PPG 1.00
67% Win % 26%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.89 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC54% Draw26% Atlanta United FC20%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
79%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
46%
Nashville SC or Atlanta United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC43% Draw44% Atlanta United FC13%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 24% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.