Friday , 11 September 2026

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 31 Aug 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Atlanta United FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
10 Aug St. Louis City A 1–3 L
26 Jul San Diego FC A 0–1 L
20 Jul Toronto FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug Nashville SC A 1–0 W
24 Aug Toronto FC H 0–0 D
17 Aug Colorado Rapids SC A 1–3 L
09 Aug Montreal Impact FC A 1–1 D
26 Jul Seattle Sounders FC H 2–2 D
19 Jul Charlotte FC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Atlanta United FC
#1 Position #14
53 Points 22
24 Played 24
16 / 5 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 14
48 Scored 29
19 Conceded 43
+29 GD -14
2.21 PPG 0.92
67% Win % 25%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
46% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
8% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (53 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/5
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 13 G
Hany Mukhtar 10 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.97 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC55% Draw25% Atlanta United FC20%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
45%
Nashville SC or Atlanta United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC44% Draw43% Atlanta United FC13%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.3%
1 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 24% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
43%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.