Saturday , 17 October 2026

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 18 Jul 2026 · 00:10 UTC Fairgrounds Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Shak Mohammed 79' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
24 May New York City FC H 2–1 W
18 May Los Angeles FC H 3–2 W
13 May New England Revolution A 0–0 D
10 May D.C. United SC H 2–2 D
02 May Philadelphia Union A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
24 May Columbus Crew SC A 0–2 L
16 May Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
09 May Los Angeles Galaxy H 0–0 D
02 May Montreal Impact FC H 0–1 L
25 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Nashville SC Atlanta United FC
#1 Position #14
66 Points 30
29 Played 29
20 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 8 / 6 / 15
63 Scored 36
22 Conceded 48
+41 GD -12
2.28 PPG 1.03
69% Win % 28%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (66 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
6/6
76+
14/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
4/5
31-45
3/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
5/7
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 17 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 15 G 8 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Fairgrounds Stadium!
  • 5' It looks surprising Nashville SC does not make any changes. Enea Mihaj has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 11' The supporters are chanting for Will Reilly. He replaces Ajani Fortune on 11 minute.
  • 16' Lucas Hoyos, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 21' It looks like no one’s ball. Nashville SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksei Miranchuk made 359 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' Atlanta United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 41' Atlanta United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' Nashville SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nashville SC that had 223 games and scored 326 goals.
  • 62' Atlanta United FC make a change. Matthew Edwards trudges off to be replaced by Will Reilly on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Bryan Acosta is replacing Edvard Tagseth for the Nashville SC side.
  • 68' Matthew Corcoran has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Ahmed Qasem is replaced by Alex Muyl on 73 minute.
  • 78' Atlanta United FC have won 440 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 79' Against the run of play, Shak Mohammed has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 83' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Luke Brennan has done his job and it is now time for Fafa Picault to step up.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Shak Mohammed.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Shak Mohammed is replaced by Jordan Knight.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Enea Mihaj. He receives a card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Nashville SC 1-0 Atlanta United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.02 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.62 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC67% Draw21% Atlanta United FC12%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
88%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
33%
Nashville SC or Atlanta United FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC48% Draw43% Atlanta United FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 21% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 25% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
54% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.