Sunday , 5 July 2026

Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 16:15 UTC Stade de la Mosson 14,358
0–1 11' Lucas Stassin
0–2 53' Lucas Stassin

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs AS Saint-ÉtienneLigue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Julien Garrigues (France)
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)
20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
31 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Le Havre AC A 1–1 D
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

H2H

Predictions

1.36 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 AS Saint-Étienne xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or AS Saint-Étienne 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

Montpellier HSC36% Draw28% AS Saint-Étienne36%

Both Teams to Score

Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
63%
Draw or AS Saint-Étienne
64%
Montpellier HSC or AS Saint-Étienne
72%

Half-Time Result

Montpellier HSC25% Draw46% AS Saint-Étienne29%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push AS Saint-Étienne covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
23%
AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.