Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 15 Feb 2025 · 16:00 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,199 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amine Gouiri 27' 1–0
Mason Greenwood pen 50' 2–0
Michael Murillo 58' 3–0
Amine Gouiri 60' 4–0
Adrien Rabiot 77' 5–0
5–1 79' Lucas Stassin

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Saint-ÉtienneLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Abdelatif Kherradji
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W
02 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
26 Jan OGC Nice A 0–2 L
19 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
11 Jan Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
19 Jan FC Nantes H 1–1 D
12 Jan Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.29 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AS Saint-Étienne xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Olympique de Marseille to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille64% Draw20% AS Saint-Étienne16%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
84%
Draw or AS Saint-Étienne
36%
Olympique de Marseille or AS Saint-Étienne
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille46% Draw39% AS Saint-Étienne15%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AS Saint-Étienne covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 22% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
34%
AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.