Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 16:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 30,070 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Pablo Rosario
Lucas Stassin 32' 1–1
1–2 52' Mickael Nade og
1–3 69' Evann Guessand

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Christophe Mouysset

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar OGC Nice H 1–3 L
22 Feb Angers SCO H 3–3 D
15 Feb Olympique de Marseille A 1–5 L
08 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–2 L
01 Feb Lille OSC A 1–4 L
24 Jan AJ Auxerre A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar AS Saint-Étienne A 3–1 W
23 Feb Montpellier HSC H 2–0 W
16 Feb Le Havre AC A 3–1 W
08 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 2–0 W
02 Feb Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
30 Jan FK Bodø/Glimt H 1–1 D

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Geoffroy Guichard that hosts another battle between AS Saint-Étienne and OGC Nice.
  • 5' The referee calls foul for Irvin Cardona. He receives a card.
  • 6' It’s gonna be a card for Jonathan Clauss.
  • 10' OGC Nice is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pablo Rosario on 10.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AS Saint-Étienne that had 427 games and scored 380 goals.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ali El Abdi made 8 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' OGC Nice seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Florian Tardieu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 32' Goal! Lucas Stassin scores his 23 goal in 390 matches.
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 47' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 52' GOAL! Mickael Nade scores on 52. Assisted by Jonathan Clauss
  • 57' OGC Nice is showing some good football. However, OGC Nice are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' The OGC Nice manager makes a substitution. Gaetan Laborde departs to be replaced by Sofiane Diop.
  • 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
  • 69' Goal! Evann Guessand scores his 25 goal in 442 matches.
  • 71' Another change for AS Saint-Etienne made on 71 minute. Irvin Cardona leaves to be changed by Augustine Boakye.
  • 76' AS Saint-Étienne started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
  • 79' Tom Louchet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Clauss on 79 minute.
  • 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sofiane Diop, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Geoffroy Guichard with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 88' Time for substitution for OGC Nice. Evann Guessand is replaced by Ali El Abdi.
  • 90' It’s a booking for AS Saint-Etienne player. Maxime Bernauer gets a card.
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Étienne22% Draw24% OGC Nice54%
Actual: OGC Nice win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
46%
Draw or OGC Nice
78%
AS Saint-Étienne or OGC Nice
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne18% Draw41% OGC Nice41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 22% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
13%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.