Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 6 Nov 2024 · 19:45 UTC The Den 16,693 HT 45' · FT 45'
Japhet Tanganga 40' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Burnley FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 3–0 W
26 Oct Bristol City FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Watford FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Millwall FC launch into their encounter with Leeds United FC.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 363 games and scored 538 goals.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dan McNamara made 6 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' The 29-year-old Ryan Wintle has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Leeds United FC come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' What a moment for Japhet Tanganga! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Leeds United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 57' Japhet Tanganga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 57.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Josh Coburn. He replaces Macaulay Langstaff on 62 minute.
  • 64' George Honeyman catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
  • 69' Millwall FC have won 417 goals from 390 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Leeds United FC team. Joe Rothwell is replaced by Manor Solomon on 72 minute.
  • 77' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 78' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Romain Esse exits the field as Femi Azeez enters on 78.
  • 80' Another change for Leeds United FC made on 80 minute. Jayden Bogle leaves to be changed by Patrick Bamford.
  • 85' Wilfried Gnonto, a Italy forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 87' Junior Firpo was booked on 87.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Shaun Hutchinson on, Ryan Wintle off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC42% Draw30% Leeds United FC28%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Leeds United FC
58%
Millwall FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC26% Draw53% Leeds United FC21%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.