Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 6 Nov 2024 · 19:45 UTC The Den 16,693 HT 45' · FT 45'
Japhet Tanganga 40' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Burnley FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 3–0 W
26 Oct Bristol City FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Watford FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at The Den. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks surprising Leeds United FC does not make any changes. Dan McNamara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniel James, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 35' Wilfried Gnonto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Millwall FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Japhet Tanganga on 40.
  • 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 50' Leeds United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
  • 55' Leeds United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' Japhet Tanganga is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 62' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Macaulay Langstaff by Josh Coburn on 62 minute.
  • 64' Millwall FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' The whistle greets Joe Rothwell as he departs to be replaced by Manor Solomon.
  • 77' Leeds United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Femi Azeez is hanging Romain Esse on the field on 78 minute.
  • 80' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Patrick Bamford is hanging Jayden Bogle on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Junior Firpo.
  • 90' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Wintle departs to be replaced by Shaun Hutchinson.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC42% Draw30% Leeds United FC28%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Leeds United FC
58%
Millwall FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC26% Draw53% Leeds United FC21%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.