Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sun 17 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Wilfried Gnonto 33' 1–0
Daniel James 79' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Jonathan Hunt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Millwall FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–0 W
05 Mar Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
02 Mar Huddersfield Town AFC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–3 L
23 Feb Leicester City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
09 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
05 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
02 Mar Watford FC H 1–0 W
24 Feb Southampton FC A 2–1 W
17 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Leeds United FC vs Millwall FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Billy Mitchell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Leeds United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Junior Firpo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Millwall FC.
  • 18' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 18.
  • 23' Millwall FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zian Flemming on 25.
  • 29' Junior Firpo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
  • 33' Wilfried Gnonto adds to his 0 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' Duncan Watmore is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Millwall FC so far.
  • 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' Ryan Leonard was booked on 53.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 60' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 60.
  • 62' Dan McNamara is replacing Ryan Leonard for the Millwall FC side.
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ilia Gruev suffering a number of foals already.
  • 69' Daniel James is replacing Wilfried Gnonto for the Leeds United FC side.
  • 74' Jaidon Anthony is replacing Crysencio Summerville for the Leeds United FC side.
  • 79' Goal! Daniel James scores his 48 goal in 383 matches.
  • 84' Ryan Longman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 89' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' Ilia Gruev catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • 90' Leeds United FC make a change. Glen Kamara trudges off to be replaced by Connor Roberts on 90 minutes.
  • Leeds United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC55% Draw25% Millwall FC20%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Millwall FC
45%
Leeds United FC or Millwall FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC37% Draw47% Millwall FC16%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.