Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sun 17 Sep 2023 · 11:00 UTC The Den 17,909 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 15' Joel Piroe
0–2 77' Joel Piroe
0–3 81' Georginio Rutter

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
8 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Leeds United FC H 0–3 L
02 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
26 Aug Stoke City FC H 1–0 W
20 Aug Norwich City FC A 1–3 L
12 Aug Bristol City FC H 0–1 L
05 Aug Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Millwall FC A 3–0 W
02 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–0 D
26 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 4–3 W
18 Aug West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
12 Aug Birmingham City FC A 0–1 L
06 Aug Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at The Den!
  • 5' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Luke Ayling has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The deadlock is broken! Joel Piroe gets on the scoresheet on 15 minutes.
  • 20' Leeds United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Millwall FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Billy Mitchell made 382 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' Leeds United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Leeds United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 60' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brooke Norton-Cuffy, as he is very good at scoring at The Den with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 64' Romain Esse is replacing Casper De Norre for the Millwall FC side.
  • 69' Daniel James gets the nod from Leeds United FC. He replaces Crysencio Summerville and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Aidomo Emakhu comes on to replace Ryan Longman.
  • 77' The deadlock is broken! Joel Piroe gets on the scoresheet on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Joel Piroe makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Leeds United FC are in front.
  • 81' Goal! Georginio Rutter scores his 32 goal in 422 matches.
  • 83' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Glen Kamara is hanging Joel Piroe on the field on 83 minute.
  • 84' Another change for Millwall FC made on 84 minute. Billy Mitchell leaves to be changed by George Saville.
  • 89' Joe Gelhardt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Georginio Rutter on 89 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Leeds United FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC28% Draw28% Leeds United FC44%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Leeds United FC
72%
Millwall FC or Leeds United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC21% Draw46% Leeds United FC33%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 22% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.