Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 6 Nov 2024 · 19:45 UTC The Den 16,693 HT 45' · FT 45'
Japhet Tanganga 40' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Leigh Doughty
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
3 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 24.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Leeds United FC H 1–0 W
03 Nov Burnley FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Swansea City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–0 W
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 3–0 W
26 Oct Bristol City FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Watford FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct Sunderland AFC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at The Den. Millwall FC are looking to make home advantage count against Leeds United FC.
  • 5' Joe Rothwell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Millwall FC currently sit 8 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Duncan Watmore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Leeds United FC come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Leeds United FC backline.
  • 40' Japhet Tanganga adds to his 2 season tally! Millwall FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 45' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' Leeds United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 57' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 57.
  • 62' Josh Coburn gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Macaulay Langstaff and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' The referee shows Millwall FC player a card on 64.
  • 69' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Millwall FC and Leeds United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 72' Leeds United FC make a change. Joe Rothwell trudges off to be replaced by Manor Solomon on 72 minutes.
  • 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Femi Azeez on, Romain Esse off on 78 minutes.
  • 80' Another substitution for Leeds United FC to replace Jayden Bogle by Patrick Bamford on 80 minute.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' Junior Firpo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • 90' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Wintle departs to be replaced by Shaun Hutchinson.
  • Another three points for Millwall FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.15 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC42% Draw30% Leeds United FC28%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Leeds United FC
58%
Millwall FC or Leeds United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC26% Draw53% Leeds United FC21%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.