Sunday , 16 August 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 30 Jan 2026 · 09:05 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Macarthur FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
24 Jan Melbourne City FC H 6–2 W
18 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
10 Jan Sydney FC H 0–3 L
05 Jan Auckland FC H 1–1 D
01 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Macarthur FC
#2 Position #7
43 Points 34
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 10
46 Scored 37
36 Conceded 44
+10 GD -7
1.65 PPG 1.31
46% Win % 35%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Macarthur FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Macarthur FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/1
61-75
2/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A
Macarthur FC
Harry Sawyer 6 G 1 A
Mitchell Duke 5 G 3 A
Luke Vickery 5 G 1 A
Rafael Duran 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Macarthur FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.92 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 Macarthur FC xG
I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Macarthur FC 75% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC44% Draw25% Macarthur FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Macarthur FC
56%
Adelaide United FC or Macarthur FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC34% Draw41% Macarthur FC25%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 0
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Macarthur FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.