Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Abraham
  • Referee Alireza Faghani

Recent Form

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Adelaide United FC
#11 Position #2
26 Points 43
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
27 Scored 46
36 Conceded 36
-9 GD +10
1.00 PPG 1.65
23% Win % 46%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC26% Draw26% Adelaide United FC48%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
74%
Brisbane Roar FC or Adelaide United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brisbane Roar FC20% Draw42% Adelaide United FC38%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 21% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.