Sunday , 16 August 2026

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 04:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FCA League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
4
Auckland FC 6 games · Avg 3.7 goals Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Adelaide United FC H 4–4 D
22 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 6–1 W
15 Feb Western United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
26 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
22 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Auckland FC A 4–4 D
23 Feb Western United FC A 0–3 L
15 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Melbourne City FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Sydney FC A 1–4 L
22 Jan Auckland FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Adelaide United FC
#3 Position #2
42 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
42 Scored 46
29 Conceded 36
+13 GD +10
1.62 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Auckland FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Auckland FC
Sam Cosgrove 12 G 4 A
Jesse Randall 9 G 8 A
Lachlan Brook 9 G 2 A
Guillermo May Bartesaghi 6 G 4 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Auckland FC host Adelaide United FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Auckland FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The deadlock is broken! Guillermo May Bartesaghi gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
  • 14' The deadlock is broken! Guillermo May Bartesaghi gets on the scoresheet on 14 minutes.
  • 19' Stefan Mauk has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 24' Over 24 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 29' Luis Gallegos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Auckland FC so far.
  • 30' Jordan Elsey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Auckland FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Max Mata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Auckland FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
  • 52' What a moment for Logan Rogerson! That strike on 52 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' Jesse Randall is ready to make an impact after coming on for Max Mata at the 55 minute mark.
  • 60' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
  • 61' Goal! Zach Clough scores his 21 goal in 140 matches.
  • 63' Ben Folami makes way for Stefan Mauk at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
  • 68' Auckland FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 70' The Auckland FC bench stirs into life. Logan Rogerson is withdrawn and Marlee Francois gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Ben Folami has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 358 appearances.
  • 79' A goal from the England international Zach Clough! He fires home on 79 to make it 3-3!
  • 83' Amlani Tatu gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Yaya Dukuly and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Callan Elliot gets the nod from Auckland FC. He replaces Neyder Moreno and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Ryan White. He replaces Zach Clough on 89 minute.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Adelaide United FC. Archie Goodwin is replaced by Austin Ayoubi.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.75 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC55% Draw20% Adelaide United FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
45%
Auckland FC or Adelaide United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC43% Draw34% Adelaide United FC23%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 18% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.