Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 04:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Head-to-Head

2
4
Auckland FC 6 games · Avg 3.7 goals Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Adelaide United FC H 4–4 D
22 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 6–1 W
15 Feb Western United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
26 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
22 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Auckland FC A 4–4 D
23 Feb Western United FC A 0–3 L
15 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Melbourne City FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Sydney FC A 1–4 L
22 Jan Auckland FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Adelaide United FC
#3 Position #2
42 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
42 Scored 46
29 Conceded 36
+13 GD +10
1.62 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Mt Smart Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Auckland FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' The Uruguay Guillermo May Bartesaghi breaks the deadlock on 10 minutes. 1-0!
  • 14' A stunning finish from Guillermo May Bartesaghi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 19' Jordan Elsey, a Australia , has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 24' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 29' Jay Barnett is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Adelaide United FC tonight.
  • 30' GOAL! Jordan Elsey fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Auckland FC and Adelaide United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' Auckland FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' Zach Clough has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 140 appearances.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 52' GOAL! Logan Rogerson scores on 52.
  • 55' Max Mata makes way for Jesse Randall at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from Auckland FC.
  • 60' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' Zach Clough makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Adelaide United FC are in front.
  • 63' Stefan Mauk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Folami on 63 minute.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bart Vriends suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' The whistle greets Logan Rogerson as he departs to be replaced by Marlee Francois.
  • 75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' Goal! Zach Clough scores his 21 goal in 140 matches.
  • 83' Amlani Tatu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yaya Dukuly on 83 minute.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Auckland FC! Callan Elliot comes on to replace Neyder Moreno.
  • 89' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Zach Clough is withdrawn and Ryan White gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Archie Goodwin as he leaves the pitch. Austin Ayoubi steps in for Adelaide United FC.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.75 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC55% Draw20% Adelaide United FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
45%
Auckland FC or Adelaide United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC43% Draw34% Adelaide United FC23%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 18% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.