Thursday , 2 July 2026

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 04:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Adelaide United FCA League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
4
Auckland FC 6 games · Avg 3.7 goals Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Adelaide United FC H 4–4 D
22 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 6–1 W
15 Feb Western United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
26 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
22 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Auckland FC A 4–4 D
23 Feb Western United FC A 0–3 L
15 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Melbourne City FC H 1–0 W
01 Feb Sydney FC A 1–4 L
22 Jan Auckland FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Adelaide United FC
#3 Position #2
42 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
42 Scored 46
29 Conceded 36
+13 GD +10
1.62 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Auckland FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Auckland FC
Sam Cosgrove 12 G 4 A
Jesse Randall 9 G 8 A
Lachlan Brook 9 G 2 A
Guillermo May Bartesaghi 6 G 4 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Mt Smart Stadium!
  • 5' Logan Rogerson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Auckland FC so far.
  • 10' What composure from Guillermo May Bartesaghi! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 14' Brilliant from the ! Guillermo May Bartesaghi makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 14.
  • 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yaya Dukuly suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Auckland FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
  • 29' Auckland FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 30' The Australia Jordan Elsey breaks the deadlock on 30 minutes. 2-1!
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Auckland FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Logan Rogerson makes it 3-1.
  • 55' A change in the Auckland FC ranks — Max Mata exits the field as Jesse Randall enters on 55.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 61' Goal! Zach Clough scores his 21 goal in 140 matches.
  • 63' The whistle greets Ben Folami as he departs to be replaced by Stefan Mauk.
  • 68' It is a cagey affair so far. Auckland FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
  • 70' Marlee Francois gets the nod from Auckland FC. He replaces Logan Rogerson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Adelaide United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 79' Zach Clough makes no mistake. The score reads 3-3 and Adelaide United FC are in front.
  • 83' Amlani Tatu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yaya Dukuly at the 83 minute mark.
  • 84' Callan Elliot has so much to prove this time. He replaces Neyder Moreno on 84 minute.
  • 89' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Zach Clough is replaced by Ryan White on 89 minute.
  • 90' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Austin Ayoubi is hanging Archie Goodwin on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.75 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC55% Draw20% Adelaide United FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
45%
Auckland FC or Adelaide United FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC43% Draw34% Adelaide United FC23%
Actual: Auckland FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–4 not predicted
4 – 4
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 16% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 18% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.