Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Fri 27 Feb 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 3 games · 1 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alex King
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC 2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	4–0	W
14 Feb	Sydney FC	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–1	D
24 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#9	Position	#12
3	Points	1
4	Played	3
0 / 3 / 1	W / D / L	0 / 1 / 2
5	Scored	3
6	Conceded	8
-1	GD	-5
0.75	PPG	0.33
0%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/4

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Brody Burkitt	2 G
Joey Garuccio	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Craig Goodwin	4
Marco Rojas	4
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Stefan Mauk	3
Ola Toivonen	2
Leroy George	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W

Adelaide United FC Form

2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-20 Adelaide United FC 4–0 Perth Glory FC W 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2026-02-08 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.26 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.32 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw23% Adelaide United FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

46%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC43% Draw39% Adelaide United FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

7.2%

3 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

4 – 1

3.9%

0 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	21%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.