Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alex King
- Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48 2 Adelaide United FC 26 43 3 Auckland FC 26 42 4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40 5 Sydney FC 26 39 6 Melbourne City FC 26 38 7 Macarthur FC 26 34 8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33 9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32 10 Perth Glory FC 26 31 11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26 12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D 21 Feb Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W 14 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D 06 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W 01 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC A 0–1 L 26 Jan Sydney FC H 4–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 27 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D 20 Feb Perth Glory FC H 4–0 W 14 Feb Sydney FC A 2–1 W 08 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–3 L 30 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–1 D 24 Jan Brisbane Roar FC A 3–2 W Season Stats
Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC #4 Position #2 40 Points 43 26 Played 26 11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7 44 Scored 46 33 Conceded 36 +11 GD +10 1.54 PPG 1.65 42% Win % 46% Key Stats
63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this seasonMelbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC0-15–/–16-301/131-452/146-601/–61-751/–76+1/3■ Scored ■ ConcededAdelaide United FC0-15–/116-301/231-45–/146-60–/261-754/–76+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FCNikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A Clarismario 6 G Mata 5 G 12 A Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A Adelaide United FCLuka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Adelaide United FC kicks off things out of here…
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
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Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Bruno Fornaroli 6 Marco Rojas 4 Craig Goodwin 4 Stefan Mauk 3 Besart Berisha 3 Hiroshi Ibusuki 3 Vince Lia 2 Ola Toivonen 2 Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC WAdelaide United FC Form
2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-20 Adelaide United FC 4–0 Perth Glory FC W 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2026-02-08 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D 2026-01-24 Brisbane Roar FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.84 Melbourne Victory FC xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.56 Adelaide United FC xGI would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 75% + Both teams to score 66%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.4Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 85% 15% ± 2.5 65% 35% ± 3.5 44% 56% ± 4.5 26% 74% Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw 69%Draw or Adelaide United FC 56%Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC 75%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual2 – 1 8.5%1 – 2 7.2%2 – 2 6.6%2 – 0 5.7%1 – 0 5.5%3 – 1 5.2%0 – 0 4.8%0 – 1 4.5%0 – 2 4.1%3 – 2 4.1%1 – 3 3.7%Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers -2.5 11% — 89% -2 11% 13% 76% -1.5 24% — 76% -1 24% 19% 57% -0.5 43% — 57% +0.5 68% — 32% +1 68% 16% 16% +1.5 84% — 16% +2 84% 10% 6% +2.5 94% — 6% Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet 22% ✓Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet 17% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.