Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Leeds United FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Leeds United FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W
07 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
01 Feb Brentford FC H 0–1 L
29 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb Birmingham City FC A 5–3 W
10 Feb Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 3–1 W
31 Jan Arsenal FC H 0–4 L
26 Jan Everton FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Leeds United FC
#16 Position #5
4 Points 9
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
4 Scored 7
9 Conceded 3
-5 GD +4
0.80 PPG 1.80
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Leeds United FC are 5th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Leeds United FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leeds United FC
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2 G 1 A
Jayden Bogle 2 G
Anton Stach 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Leeds United FC kicks off things out of here…
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Leeds United FC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC30% Draw27% Leeds United FC43%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Leeds United FC
70%
Aston Villa FC or Leeds United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC18% Draw47% Leeds United FC35%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.7%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.