Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Aston Villa FC

1 – 4

Full Time

Chelsea FC

Wed 4 Mar 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League .

Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Chelsea FC 10 games · 16 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jarred Gillett

5 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa FC 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Chelsea FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC 2025-12-27 Chelsea FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC 2025-02-22 Aston Villa FC 2–1 Chelsea FC 2024-12-01 Chelsea FC 3–0 Aston Villa FC 2024-04-27 Aston Villa FC 2–2 Chelsea FC

Recent Form

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Chelsea FC	H	1–4	L
27 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	0–2	L
21 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	1–3	L
11 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	1–0	W
07 Feb	AFC Bournemouth	A	1–1	D

Chelsea FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Mar	Aston Villa FC	A	4–1	W
01 Mar	Arsenal FC	A	1–2	L
21 Feb	Burnley FC	H	1–1	D
13 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	4–0	W
10 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	2–2	D
07 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC		Chelsea FC
#10	Position	#5
13	Points	16
10	Played	10
3 / 4 / 3	W / D / L	5 / 1 / 4
14	Scored	19
17	Conceded	16
-3	GD	+3
1.30	PPG	1.60
30%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Chelsea FC are 5th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

2/–

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Chelsea FC

0-15

7/–

16-30

–/3

31-45

2/3

46-60

4/3

61-75

5/1

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC

Nicolas Jackson	6 G	1 A
Johan Manzambi	2 G	3 A
Alysson	2 G

Chelsea FC

Joao Pedro	5 G	3 A
Morgan Rogers	5 G	1 A
Cole Palmer	3 G	3 A
Pedro Neto	3 G	1 A
Jordan Henderson	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Aston Villa FC have kicked off against Chelsea FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
1-4 the final result. Aston Villa FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Romelu Lukaku	3
Mason Mount	3
Ollie Watkins	3
Enzo Fernandez	3
Nicolas Jackson	2
Marco Asensio	2
Jorginho	2
Olivier Giroud	2

Head to Head

Aston Villa FC Form

2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-27 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2026-02-21 Aston Villa FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2026-02-14 Aston Villa FC 1–3 Newcastle United FC L 2026-02-11 Aston Villa FC 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC W 2026-02-07 AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa FC D

Chelsea FC Form

2026-03-04 Aston Villa FC 1–4 Chelsea FC W 2026-03-01 Arsenal FC 2–1 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-21 Chelsea FC 1–1 Burnley FC D 2026-02-13 Hull City AFC 0–4 Chelsea FC W 2026-02-10 Chelsea FC 2–2 Leeds United FC D 2026-02-07 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 1–3 Chelsea FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.56 Aston Villa FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.41 Chelsea FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC27% Draw23% Chelsea FC50%

Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	74%	26%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw

50%

Draw or Chelsea FC

73%

Aston Villa FC or Chelsea FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC21% Draw37% Chelsea FC42%

Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 2

8.3%

1 – 1

7.9%

1 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

5.6%

2 – 1

5.4%

2 – 3

5.1%

0 – 3

4.4%

0 – 1

4.2%

1 – 4

Actual

3 – 2

3.3%

2 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap	Aston Villa FC covers	Push	Chelsea FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	13%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	20%	36%
+1.5	64%	—	36%
+2	64%	16%	19%
+2.5	81%	—	19%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.