AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

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FA Cup · 2024-25

AFC Bournemouth

1 – 2

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Vitality Stadium 10,954 HT 45' · FT 45'

Evanilson 21' 1–0

1–1 49' Erling Haaland

1–2 63' Omar Marmoush

Y 37' Abdukodir Khusanov

Ryan Christie 62' Y

Lewis Cook 70' Y

Justin Kluivert 77' Y

Y 86' Matheus Nunes

Y 90' James McAtee

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

AFC Bournemouth 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Head-to-Head

AFC Bournemouth 14 games · Avg 3.4 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City FC 2024-11-02 AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester City FC 2024-02-24 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Manchester City FC 2023-11-04 Manchester City FC 6–1 AFC Bournemouth 2023-02-25 AFC Bournemouth 1–4 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	1–2	L
15 Mar	Brentford FC	H	1–2	L
09 Mar	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–2	D
01 Mar	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	5–4	W
25 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	1–2	L
22 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	AFC Bournemouth	A	2–1	W
15 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	2–2	D
08 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–1	L
01 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	3–1	W
26 Feb	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	1–0	W
23 Feb	Liverpool FC	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

79% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' AFC Bournemouth have kicked off against Manchester City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Manchester City FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Marc Guehi scoring 1 goals.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Omar Marmoush made 484 appearances and scored 53 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
20' The 29-year-old Lewis Cook has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
21' Evanilson adds to his 6 season tally! AFC Bournemouth lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
26' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
31' Ilkay Gundogan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester City FC so far.
36' Phil Foden needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Abdukodir Khusanov on 37 minutes.
42' Manchester City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
46' The whistle greets Abdukodir Khusanov as he departs to be replaced by Nico O'Reilly.
49' Erling Haaland doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
57' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. David Brooks has done his job and it is now time for Dango Ouattara to step up.
61' Omar Marmoush is ready to make an impact after coming on for Erling Haaland at the 61 minute mark.
62' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Christie argues furiously but the card stands.
63' What a moment for Omar Marmoush! That strike on 63 puts his side firmly in control.
68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
69' Jack Grealish is ready to make an impact after coming on for Phil Foden at the 69 minute mark.
70' Lewis Cook is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
73' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 73 minute. Evanilson leaves to be changed by Alex Scott.
77' Justin Kluivert was booked on 77.
82' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Bournemouth and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
83' Manchester City FC ring the changes. Mateo Kovacic has done his job and it is now time for Nico Gonzalez to step up.
85' Daniel Jebbison is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcos Senesi at the 85 minute mark.
86' Matheus Nunes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for James McAtee.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Manchester City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

15
Adam Smith ↑ 73'
23
James Hill ↑ 57'
40
Will Dennis
8
Alex Scott ↑ 73'
21
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 85'
11
Dango Ouattara ↑ 57'
45
Matai Akinmboni
47
Ben Winterburn
43
Zain Silcott-Duberry

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Nico Gonzalez 83'
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ James McAtee 83'
31
Ederson
20
Bernardo Silva
17
Kevin De Bruyne
47
Phil Foden ↓ Jack Grealish 69'
27
Matheus Nunes
3
Ruben Dias
9
Erling Haaland ↓ Omar Marmoush 61'
24
Josko Gvardiol
45
Abdukodir Khusanov ↓ Nico O'Reilly 46'

Bench

10
Jack Grealish ↑ 69'
18
Stefan Ortega Moreno
11
Jeremy Doku
7
Omar Marmoush ↑ 61'
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 83'
87
James McAtee ↑ 83'
82
Rico Lewis
75
Nico O'Reilly ↑ 46'
22
Vitor Reis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Foden	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Erling Haaland	3
Ilkay Gundogan	3
Raheem Sterling	2
Omar Marmoush	2
Julian Alvarez	2
Sergio Aguero	2

Head to Head

AFC Bournemouth Form

2025-03-30 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City FC L 2025-03-15 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford FC L 2025-03-09 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2–2 AFC Bournemouth D 2025-03-01 AFC Bournemouth 5–4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 2025-02-25 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 AFC Bournemouth L 2025-02-22 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC L

Manchester City FC Form

2025-03-30 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-03-15 Manchester City FC 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-02-26 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-23 Manchester City FC 0–2 Liverpool FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.63 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Bournemouth28% Draw27% Manchester City FC45%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw

55%

Draw or Manchester City FC

72%

AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Bournemouth22% Draw45% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 0

7.5%

0 – 2

7.4%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

4.3%

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap	AFC Bournemouth covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	21%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.