AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.
- AFC Bournemouth 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Brentford FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Mar | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 5–4 | W |
| 25 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | AFC Bournemouth | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Mar | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Liverpool FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
AFC Bournemouth this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Manchester City FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Manchester City FC
| Antoine Semenyo | 3 G | 2 A |
| Erling Haaland | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Bournemouth host Manchester City FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Brazil international Ederson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Phil Foden is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Manchester City FC so far.
- 20' Evanilson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 66 goals in his last 393 appearances.
- 21' What composure from Evanilson! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 31' Josko Gvardiol is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Brooks made 337 appearances and scored 23 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 37' The referee shows Manchester City FC player a card on 37.
- 42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
- 46' Nico O'Reilly is replacing Abdukodir Khusanov for the Manchester City FC side.
- 49' Goal! Erling Haaland scores his 257 goal in 83 matches.
- 54' AFC Bournemouth have won 443 goals from 337 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' AFC Bournemouth make a change. David Brooks trudges off to be replaced by Dango Ouattara on 57 minutes.
- 61' Manchester City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Omar Marmoush is hanging Erling Haaland on the field on 61 minute.
- 62' A moment of madness from Ryan Christie on 62 minutes earns him a card. AFC Bournemouth will be frustrated.
- 63' Omar Marmoush puts Manchester City FC on the lead.
- 68' AFC Bournemouth are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 69' It is a substitution in Manchester City FC team. Phil Foden is replaced by Jack Grealish on 69 minute.
- 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Lewis Cook.
- 73' Alex Scott is replacing Evanilson for the AFC Bournemouth side.
- 77' That is a card for AFC Bournemouth. Justin Kluivert will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 83' The Manchester City FC manager makes a substitution. Mateo Kovacic departs to be replaced by Nico Gonzalez.
- 85' A tactical swap from AFC Bournemouth — Daniel Jebbison on, Marcos Senesi off on 85 minutes.
- 86' Manchester City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 90' James McAtee catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Manchester City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
- 4
-
7
David Brooks ↓ Dango Ouattara 57'
- 13
- 19
- 12
-
10
Ryan Christie ↓ Adam Smith 73'
-
5
Marcos Senesi ↓ Daniel Jebbison 85'
-
9
Evanilson ↓ Alex Scott 73'
- 27
-
20
Julio Soler ↓ James Hill 57'
Bench
-
15
Adam Smith ↑ 73'
-
23
James Hill ↑ 57'
- 40
-
8
Alex Scott ↑ 73'
-
21
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 85'
-
11
Dango Ouattara ↑ 57'
- 45
- 47
- 43
Manchester City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Nico Gonzalez 83'
-
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ James McAtee 83'
- 31
- 20
- 17
-
47
Phil Foden ↓ Jack Grealish 69'
- 27
- 3
-
9
Erling Haaland ↓ Omar Marmoush 61'
- 24
- 45
Bench
-
10
Jack Grealish ↑ 69'
- 18
- 11
-
7
Omar Marmoush ↑ 61'
-
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 83'
-
87
James McAtee ↑ 83'
- 82
-
75
Nico O'Reilly ↑ 46'
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Phil Foden | 5 |
| Bernardo Silva | 4 |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Evanilson | 2 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 2 |
| Raheem Sterling | 2 |
| Omar Marmoush | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Bournemouth Form
2025-03-30
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
Manchester City FC
L
2025-03-15
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
Brentford FC
L
2025-03-09
Tottenham Hotspur FC
2–2
AFC Bournemouth
D
2025-03-01
AFC Bournemouth
5–4
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
W
2025-02-25
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
AFC Bournemouth
L
2025-02-22
AFC Bournemouth
0–1
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
L
Manchester City FC Form
2025-03-30
AFC Bournemouth
1–2
Manchester City FC
W
2025-03-15
Manchester City FC
2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
D
2025-03-08
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Manchester City FC
L
2025-03-01
Manchester City FC
3–1
Plymouth Argyle FC
W
2025-02-26
Tottenham Hotspur FC
0–1
Manchester City FC
W
2025-02-23
Manchester City FC
0–2
Liverpool FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63
Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for:
AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Manchester City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
AFC Bournemouth or Draw
55%
Draw or Manchester City FC
72%
AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth
| Handicap | AFC Bournemouth covers | Push | Manchester City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

