Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Vitality Stadium 10,954 HT 45' · FT 45'
Evanilson 21' 1–0
1–1 49' Erling Haaland
1–2 63' Omar Marmoush

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FCFA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Recent Form

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
2/
61-75
1/
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Antoine Semenyo 3 G 2 A
Erling Haaland 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Bournemouth welcome Manchester City FC for this crunch clash at Vitality Stadium.
  • 5' Bernardo Silva, a Portugal , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' AFC Bournemouth started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nico Gonzalez made 513 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' Evanilson doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' AFC Bournemouth are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' Controversy at the stadium! Abdukodir Khusanov argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Bournemouth and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Nico O'Reilly. He replaces Abdukodir Khusanov on 46 minute.
  • 49' Erling Haaland is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 13 goals this season for the .
  • 54' Nico O'Reilly has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 57' AFC Bournemouth make a change. David Brooks trudges off to be replaced by Dango Ouattara on 57 minutes.
  • 61' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — Erling Haaland exits the field as Omar Marmoush enters on 61.
  • 62' It’s gonna be a card for Ryan Christie.
  • 63' Omar Marmoush is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 68' England international Phil Foden has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' Another substitution for Manchester City FC to replace Phil Foden by Jack Grealish on 69 minute.
  • 70' Poor challenge from Lewis Cook. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. Evanilson has done his job and it is now time for Alex Scott to step up.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a card for Justin Kluivert.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 83' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — Mateo Kovacic exits the field as Nico Gonzalez enters on 83.
  • 85' The whistle greets Marcos Senesi as he departs to be replaced by Daniel Jebbison.
  • 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Matheus Nunes.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for James McAtee on 90 minutes.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth28% Draw27% Manchester City FC45%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
55%
Draw or Manchester City FC
72%
AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth22% Draw45% Manchester City FC33%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
20%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.