AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

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FA Cup · 2024-25

AFC Bournemouth

1 – 2

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Vitality Stadium 10,954 HT 45' · FT 45'

Evanilson 21' 1–0

1–1 49' Erling Haaland

1–2 63' Omar Marmoush

Y 37' Abdukodir Khusanov

Ryan Christie 62' Y

Lewis Cook 70' Y

Justin Kluivert 77' Y

Y 86' Matheus Nunes

Y 90' James McAtee

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City FC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

AFC Bournemouth 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Manchester City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Head-to-Head

AFC Bournemouth 13 games · Avg 3.5 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City FC 2024-11-02 AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester City FC 2024-02-24 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Manchester City FC 2023-11-04 Manchester City FC 6–1 AFC Bournemouth 2023-02-25 AFC Bournemouth 1–4 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	1–2	L
15 Mar	Brentford FC	H	1–2	L
09 Mar	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–2	D
01 Mar	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	5–4	W
25 Feb	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	1–2	L
22 Feb	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	AFC Bournemouth	A	2–1	W
15 Mar	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	H	2–2	D
08 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–1	L
01 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	3–1	W
26 Feb	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	1–0	W
23 Feb	Liverpool FC	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

50% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC

Antoine Semenyo	3 G	2 A
Erling Haaland	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. AFC Bournemouth host Manchester City FC — let the battle begin!
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Manchester City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
21' Evanilson makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
31' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
36' Kepa Arrizabalaga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
37' The referee has no hesitation. Abdukodir Khusanov is booked for Manchester City FC — card on 37.
42' Manchester City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
46' Nico O'Reilly is replacing Abdukodir Khusanov for the Manchester City FC side.
49' What composure from Erling Haaland! The Norway international strokes it home. 1-1.
54' AFC Bournemouth are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Manchester City FC backline.
57' Dango Ouattara gets the nod from AFC Bournemouth. He replaces David Brooks and will look to change the dynamic.
61' Omar Marmoush gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces Erling Haaland and will look to change the dynamic.
62' The referee shows AFC Bournemouth player a card on 62.
63' GOAL! Omar Marmoush scores on 63. Assisted by Nico O'Reilly
68' Phil Foden has been relatively quiet despite scoring 98 goals in his last 436 appearances.
69' Jack Grealish is replacing Phil Foden for the Manchester City FC side.
70' That looks like a foul for a card for Lewis Cook.
73' The whistle greets Evanilson as he departs to be replaced by Alex Scott.
77' Controversy at the stadium! Justin Kluivert argues furiously but the card stands.
82' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Bournemouth that had 335 games and scored 441 goals.
83' Another change for Manchester City FC made on 83 minute. Mateo Kovacic leaves to be changed by Nico Gonzalez.
85' Fresh legs for AFC Bournemouth! Daniel Jebbison comes on to replace Marcos Senesi.
86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matheus Nunes on 86.
90' James McAtee catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
With this win, Manchester City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

15
Adam Smith ↑ 73'
23
James Hill ↑ 57'
40
Will Dennis
8
Alex Scott ↑ 73'
21
Daniel Jebbison ↑ 85'
11
Dango Ouattara ↑ 57'
45
Matai Akinmboni
47
Ben Winterburn
43
Zain Silcott-Duberry

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Nico Gonzalez 83'
19
Ilkay Gundogan ↓ James McAtee 83'
31
Ederson
20
Bernardo Silva
17
Kevin De Bruyne
47
Phil Foden ↓ Jack Grealish 69'
27
Matheus Nunes
3
Ruben Dias
9
Erling Haaland ↓ Omar Marmoush 61'
24
Josko Gvardiol
45
Abdukodir Khusanov ↓ Nico O'Reilly 46'

Bench

10
Jack Grealish ↑ 69'
18
Stefan Ortega Moreno
11
Jeremy Doku
7
Omar Marmoush ↑ 61'
14
Nico Gonzalez ↑ 83'
87
James McAtee ↑ 83'
82
Rico Lewis
75
Nico O'Reilly ↑ 46'
22
Vitor Reis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Foden	5
Bernardo Silva	4
Ilkay Gundogan	3
Erling Haaland	3
Sergio Aguero	2
Evanilson	2
Raheem Sterling	2
Omar Marmoush	2

Head to Head

AFC Bournemouth Form

2025-03-30 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City FC L 2025-03-15 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford FC L 2025-03-09 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2–2 AFC Bournemouth D 2025-03-01 AFC Bournemouth 5–4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC W 2025-02-25 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 AFC Bournemouth L 2025-02-22 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC L

Manchester City FC Form

2025-03-30 AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City FC W 2025-03-15 Manchester City FC 2–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC D 2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-02-26 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-23 Manchester City FC 0–2 Liverpool FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.24 AFC Bournemouth xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.63 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Bournemouth28% Draw27% Manchester City FC45%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.87

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw

55%

Draw or Manchester City FC

72%

AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Bournemouth22% Draw45% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.4%

0 – 0

7.5%

0 – 2

7.4%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

4.3%

0 – 3

3.9%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap	AFC Bournemouth covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	16%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	21%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.