Sunday , 16 August 2026

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 24 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Antoine Semenyo 23' 1–0
1–1 47' Ollie Watkins
1–2 62' Ollie Watkins
Rico Lewis 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
19 May AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
16 May Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
13 May Crystal Palace FC H 3–0 W
09 May Brentford FC H 3–0 W
04 May Everton FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
20 May SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
15 May Liverpool FC H 4–2 W
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Aston Villa FC
#9 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Etihad Stadium as Manchester City FC face off against Aston Villa FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Tijjani Reijnders has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marco Bizot is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aston Villa FC.
  • 15' Aston Villa FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' What composure from Antoine Semenyo! The Ghana international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 28' Leon Bailey is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Manchester City FC tonight.
  • 33' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 47' What an equalizer from Ollie Watkins!
  • 52' Victor Nilsson-Lindelof has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 409 appearances.
  • 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Phil Foden made 436 appearances and scored 98 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 62' Ollie Watkins doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Manchester City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 72' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Both keepers have barely been tested. Manchester City FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Rico Lewis is booked for Manchester City FC — card on 82.
  • 87' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 90' What a moment for Phil Foden! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Manchester City FC 1-2 Aston Villa FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.8 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC32% Draw36% Aston Villa FC32%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
68%
Manchester City FC or Aston Villa FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC20% Draw61% Aston Villa FC19%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.8%
0 – 1
14.6%
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
2.2%
0 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
1.6%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 20% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 20% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.