Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 24 May 2026 · 15:00 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Antoine Semenyo 23' 1–0
1–1 47' Ollie Watkins
1–2 62' Ollie Watkins
Rico Lewis 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Etihad Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Simon Long
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
19 May AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
16 May Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
13 May Crystal Palace FC H 3–0 W
09 May Brentford FC H 3–0 W
04 May Everton FC A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
20 May SC Freiburg A 3–0 W
15 May Liverpool FC H 4–2 W
10 May Burnley FC A 2–2 D
07 May Nottingham Forest FC H 4–0 W
03 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Aston Villa FC
#1 Position #16
15 Points 4
5 Played 5
5 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
13 Scored 4
5 Conceded 9
+8 GD -5
3.00 PPG 0.80
100% Win % 20%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Manchester City FC launch into their encounter with Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' Manchester City FC are deployed in a 4-2-2-2 today, looking to exploit space against Aston Villa FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tijjani Reijnders suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' named a 4-2-2-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' John Stones has been relatively quiet despite scoring 19 goals in his last 444 appearances.
  • 23' What a strike from Antoine Semenyo! The score is 1-0.
  • 28' Manchester City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Manchester City FC that had 444 games and scored 1039 goals.
  • 38' Manchester City FC currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' A goal from the England international Ollie Watkins! He fires home on 47 to make it 1-1!
  • 52' The energy levels are beginning to show. Pep Guardiola might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marco Bizot, as he is very good at scoring at Etihad Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' GOAL! Ollie Watkins fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Victor Nilsson-Lindelof has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 82' That is a card for Manchester City FC. Rico Lewis will be fuming at that decision.
  • 87' Tyrone Mings is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 90' Phil Foden doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • With this win, Aston Villa FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC60% Draw21% Aston Villa FC19%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
40%
Manchester City FC or Aston Villa FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC53% Draw35% Aston Villa FC12%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.4%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5.3%
4 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 20% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 20% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.