Sunday , 23 August 2026

Malaga CF vs Real Sporting de Gijon, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 9 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC La Rosaleda 27,896 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Jonathan Dubasin
Chupete 54' 1–1
Joaquin Munoz 86' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs Real Sporting de GijónSegunda Division at La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Sanchez Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jesus Mira Garcia (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Hernandez Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almeria A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
04 Apr RC Deportivo La Coruna A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Malaga CF A 1–2 L
03 May AD Ceuta FC H 1–2 L
26 Apr Cordoba CF A 2–3 L
19 Apr Cádiz CF H 3–0 W
11 Apr Burgos CF A 0–1 L
06 Apr Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Real Sporting de Gijon this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Real Sporting de Gijón xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Malaga CF to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF56% Draw24% Real Sporting de Gijón20%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Real Sporting de Gijón
44%
Malaga CF or Real Sporting de Gijón
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Malaga CF37% Draw44% Real Sporting de Gijón19%
Actual: Real Sporting de Gijón win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap Malaga CF covers Push Real Sporting de Gijón covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
33%
Real Sporting de Gijón keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.