Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 19 Sep 2020 · 14:00 UTC Kenilworth Road Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Referee Carl Fitch-Jackson
  • Referee Ian Cooper
  • Referee Mark Pottage

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
12 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–2 W
18 Jul Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
14 Jul Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–1 D
10 Jul Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
12 Sep Reading FC H 0–2 L
22 Jul Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
19 Jul Leeds United FC H 1–3 L
14 Jul Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
11 Jul Brentford FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Luton Town FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Elliot Lee has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 22' Rhys Norrington-Davies catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 22.
  • 27' Jahmal Hector-Ingram needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 32' Luton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' Luke Berry makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Luton Town FC are in front.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andre Wisdom, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' Luton Town FC make a change. Glen Rea trudges off to be replaced by James Bree on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 52' Goal! Jack Marriott scores his 49 goal in 385 matches.
  • 57' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Bird suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Jack Marriott by Jahmal Hector-Ingram on 64 minute.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 74' Rhys Norrington-Davies has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 10 appearances.
  • 79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 83' George Moncur is replacing Harry Cornick for the Luton Town FC side.
  • 87' What a strike from Jordan Clark! The score is 2-1.
  • 88' The crowd applauds Kamil Jozwiak as he leaves the pitch. Morgan Whittaker steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pelly Ruddock on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw25% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw45% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.