Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 19 Sep 2020 · 14:00 UTC Kenilworth Road Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Referee Carl Fitch-Jackson
  • Referee Ian Cooper
  • Referee Mark Pottage
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Derby County FC H 2–1 W
12 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–0 W
22 Jul Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–2 W
18 Jul Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
14 Jul Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–1 D
10 Jul Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
12 Sep Reading FC H 0–2 L
22 Jul Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
19 Jul Leeds United FC H 1–3 L
14 Jul Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
11 Jul Brentford FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 22' The referee has no hesitation. Rhys Norrington-Davies is booked for Luton Town FC — Yellow card on 22.
  • 27' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kamil Jozwiak made 24 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' What a moment for Luke Berry! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 46' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Glen Rea exits the field as James Bree enters on 46.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 52' Jack Marriott makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Derby County FC are in front.
  • 57' Jahmal Hector-Ingram is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 62' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 64' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Jack Marriott exits the field as Jahmal Hector-Ingram enters on 64.
  • 69' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' The 39-year-old Martin Cranie has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Louie Sibley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 83' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — George Moncur on, Harry Cornick off on 83 minutes.
  • 87' A goal from the England international Jordan Clark! He fires home on 87 to make it 2-1!
  • 88' The crowd applauds Kamil Jozwiak as he leaves the pitch. Morgan Whittaker steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 90' Pelly Ruddock picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Luton Town FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw25% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC31% Draw45% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.