Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Elland Road 36,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Rodon 39' 1–0
Maximilian Wober 44' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Shaun Hudson
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Derby County FC H 2–0 W
30 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
27 Nov Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
24 Nov Swansea City AFC A 4–3 W
09 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
06 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Leeds United FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC37% Draw48% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.