Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC Elland Road 36,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Joe Rodon 39' 1–0
Maximilian Wober 44' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Shaun Hudson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Derby County FC H 2–0 W
30 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
27 Nov Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
24 Nov Swansea City AFC A 4–3 W
09 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
06 Nov Millwall FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
23 Nov Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
06 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Leeds United FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Jayden Bogle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Leeds United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 15' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Kayden Jackson gets a card.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiran Cashin, as he is very good at scoring at Elland Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 21' The supporters are chanting for Maximilian Wober. He replaces Junior Firpo on 21 minute.
  • 26' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 31.
  • 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Goal! Joe Rodon scores his 3 goal in 383 matches.
  • 44' Goal! Maximilian Wober scores his 7 goal in 480 matches.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Rothwell made 382 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' Leeds United FC is showing some good football. However, Leeds United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 65' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kenzo Goudmijn is hanging Kayden Jackson on the field on 65 minute.
  • 68' The Leeds United FC manager makes a substitution. Brenden Aaronson departs to be replaced by Mateo Fernandez.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Liam Thompson is replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 85' Josuha Guilavogui is replacing Joe Rothwell for the Leeds United FC side.
  • 90' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • With this win, Leeds United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Leeds United FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC56% Draw26% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Leeds United FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC37% Draw48% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.