Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,264 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elijah Adebayo 17' 1–0
1–1 64' Matt Grimes

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Swansea City AFCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee James Bell
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Lehane (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
27 Nov Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
23 Nov Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–5 L
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Portsmouth FC H 2–2 D
27 Nov Derby County FC A 2–1 W
24 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–4 L
10 Nov Burnley FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Watford FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Luton Town FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Swansea City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Carlton Morris, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 26 goals in the last 23 games.
  • 17' GOAL! Elijah Adebayo scores on 17.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' It looks like no one’s ball. Swansea City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Swansea City AFC is showing some good football. However, Swansea City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' Victor Moses has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 47' Swansea City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Swansea City AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ji-sung Eom is hanging Ronald on the field on 60 minute.
  • 64' GOAL! Matt Grimes scores on 64. Assisted by Josh Tymon
  • 69' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Jacob Brown. He replaces Elijah Adebayo on 70 minute.
  • 75' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Joe Allen. He replaces Goncalo Franco on 79 minute.
  • 81' The whistle greets Amari'i Bell as he departs to be replaced by Mads Juel Andersen.
  • 86' It looks surprising Luton Town FC does not make any changes. Myles Peart-Harris has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 88' Another change for Swansea City AFC made on 88 minute. Myles Peart-Harris leaves to be changed by Azeem Abdulai.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.29 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC45% Draw29% Swansea City AFC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
55%
Luton Town FC or Swansea City AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC30% Draw52% Swansea City AFC18%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.