Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Luton Town FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Fri 20 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 11,667 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 58' Kayden Jackson
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 89' 1–1
Carlton Morris 90+2' 2–1
Mads Juel Andersen 37' Y
Y 41' Nathaniel Phillips
Y 67' Callum Elder
Y 89' Curtis Nelson

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
  • Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

5
1
2
Luton Town FC 8 games · Avg 2.6 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2020-09-19 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Derby County FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
07 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–1 D
30 Nov Norwich City FC A 2–4 L
27 Nov Leeds United FC A 0–3 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
27 Nov Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Kenilworth Road. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Luton Town FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Luton Town FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 5-3-2.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathaniel Phillips suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Mads Juel Andersen, a Denmark , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 37' That is a card for Luton Town FC. Mads Juel Andersen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 41' Poor challenge from Nathaniel Phillips. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 393 games and scored 459 goals.
  • 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' Kayden Jackson puts Derby County FC on the lead.
  • 62' Craig Forsyth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sonny Bradley on 62 minute.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Callum Elder. He receives a card.
  • 68' Zack Nelson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Victor Moses at the 68 minute mark.
  • 69' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Tom Krauss departs to be replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kayden Jackson is replaced by James Collins.
  • 79' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Jerry Yates exits the field as Nathaniel Mendez-Laing enters on 79.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kenzo Goudmijn is replaced by Marcus Harness on 84 minute.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Joe Taylor on, Jordan Clark off on 86 minutes.
  • 89' Against the run of play, Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Curtis Nelson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Luton Town FC take all three points.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rob Edwards

Derby County FC Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tom Lawrence 2
Pelly Ruddock 1
Carlton Morris 1
Jack Marriott 1
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu 1
Jordan Clark 1
Millenic Alli 1
Luke Berry 1

Head to Head

2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-26 Luton Town FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-10-19 Derby County FC 2–2 Luton Town FC 2021-04-02 Derby County FC 2–0 Luton Town FC 2020-09-19 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC

Luton Town FC Form

2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC W 2024-12-14 Blackburn Rovers FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2024-12-10 Luton Town FC 2–1 Stoke City FC W 2024-12-07 Luton Town FC 1–1 Swansea City AFC D 2024-11-30 Norwich City FC 4–2 Luton Town FC L 2024-11-27 Leeds United FC 3–0 Luton Town FC L

Derby County FC Form

2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-12-13 Derby County FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W 2024-12-10 Burnley FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2024-12-01 Derby County FC 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday FC L 2024-11-27 Derby County FC 1–2 Swansea City AFC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw27% Derby County FC24%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC32% Draw49% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.