Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Luton Town FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.
- Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Shaun Hudson
- Assistant 2 Rob Hyde (England)
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Dec | Stoke City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Norwich City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Nov | Leeds United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Nov | Swansea City AFC | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Luton Town FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' Mark McGuinness is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Luton Town FC tonight.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' Luton Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
- 25' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 5-3-2.
- 35' Luton Town FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' Mads Juel Andersen was booked on 37.
- 41' Nathaniel Phillips is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 397 games and scored 462 goals.
- 51' Carlton Morris needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 58' Kayden Jackson does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
- 62' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Craig Forsyth on, Sonny Bradley off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Callum Elder picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 68' Zack Nelson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Victor Moses at the 68 minute mark.
- 69' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Tom Krauss is withdrawn and Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu gets his opportunity.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jerry Yates made 57 appearances and scored 70 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kayden Jackson by James Collins on 78 minute.
- 79' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replacing Jerry Yates for the Derby County FC side.
- 84' Derby County FC make a change. Kenzo Goudmijn trudges off to be replaced by Marcus Harness on 84 minutes.
- 86' Joe Taylor is replacing Jordan Clark for the Luton Town FC side.
- 89' GOAL! Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu fires home to make it 1-1!
- 89' Curtis Nelson was booked on 89.
- The points are shared — Luton Town FC 2-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Luton Town FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 29
-
7
Victor Moses ↓ Zack Nelson 68'
-
19
Jacob Brown ↓ Cauley Woodrow 68'
- 9
-
18
Jordan Clark ↓ Joe Taylor 86'
- 11
- 1
- 14
- 8
- 5
- 6
Bench
-
25
Joe Taylor ↑ 86'
- 13
- 21
-
10
Cauley Woodrow ↑ 68'
- 23
-
17
Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu ↑ 69'
-
38
Joseph Johnson ↑ 86'
-
37
Zack Nelson ↑ 68'
- 40
Coach
Rob Edwards
Derby County FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 84'
- 8
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ James Collins 78'
- 2
- 35
- 10
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↓ Craig Forsyth 62'
- 32
- 20
- 12
- 1
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 62'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 84'
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 79'
- 27
- 23
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 78'
- 7
- 39
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 2 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Fred Onyedinma | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 1 |
| Elijah Adebayo | 1 |
| Wayne Rooney | 1 |
| Danny Hylton | 1 |
| Donervon Daniels | 1 |
Head to Head
Luton Town FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43
Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Luton Town FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Luton Town FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.6%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC
| Handicap | Luton Town FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.