Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 2 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Ollie Watkins
0–2 38' Ollie Watkins
Tahith Chong 66' 1–2
Carlton Morris 72' 2–2
2–3 89' Lucas Digne

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Aston Villa FC H 2–3 L
27 Feb Manchester City FC H 2–6 L
21 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
18 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
10 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Newcastle United FC A 4–4 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
11 Feb Manchester United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Chelsea FC H 1–3 L
03 Feb Sheffield United FC A 5–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kenilworth Road that hosts another battle between Luton Town FC and Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 6' The whistle greets Amari'i Bell as he departs to be replaced by Chiedozie Ogbene.
  • 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 16' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 21' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Carlton Morris suffering a number of foals already.
  • 24' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ollie Watkins on 24.
  • 29' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Jacob Ramsey by Morgan Rogers on 29 minute.
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' What a strike from Ollie Watkins! The score is 0-2.
  • 38' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a card on 38.
  • 43' Emiliano Martinez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 57 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Douglas Luiz. He receives a card.
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Morgan Rogers on 50.
  • 53' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 53 minute. Andros Townsend leaves to be changed by Daiki Hashioka.
  • 58' It’s high time Unai Emery made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' Luton Town FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Goal! Tahith Chong scores his 14 goal in 409 matches.
  • 71' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 72' What an equalizer from Carlton Morris!
  • 77' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 79' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Moreno departs to be replaced by Lucas Digne.
  • 84' The whistle greets Tahith Chong as he departs to be replaced by Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu.
  • 89' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucas Digne on 89.
  • 90' Nicolo Zaniolo was booked on 90.
  • With this win, Aston Villa FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC25% Draw23% Aston Villa FC52%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Luton Town FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC20% Draw39% Aston Villa FC41%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
6.6%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.