Saturday , 14 November 2026

Liverpool FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 10 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Anfield HT 45' · FT 45'
Diogo Jota 31' 1–0
1–1 45' Dara O'Shea
Luis Diaz 52' 2–1
Darwin Nunez 79' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Liverpool FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Anfield.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1 Edward Smart (England)
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb Burnley FC H 3–1 W
04 Feb Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
31 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–1 W
28 Jan Norwich City FC H 5–2 W
21 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 4–0 W
07 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb Liverpool FC A 1–3 L
03 Feb Fulham FC H 2–2 D
31 Jan Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
12 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Alexander Isak 7 G
Victor Munoz 2 G
Cody Gakpo 1 G 3 A
Dominik Szoboszlai 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.12 Liverpool FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Liverpool FC66% Draw21% Burnley FC13%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Liverpool FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Burnley FC
34%
Liverpool FC or Burnley FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Liverpool FC45% Draw41% Burnley FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.6%
1 – 1
10.1%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Liverpool FC

Handicap Liverpool FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.