Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Darwin Nunez
0–2 90' Diogo Jota

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Marc Perry
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
05 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
02 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burnley FC A 2–0 W
23 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L
09 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
06 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Alexander Isak 4 G
Cody Gakpo 1 G 3 A
Dominik Szoboszlai 1 G
Victor Munoz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Turf Moor as Burnley FC face off against Liverpool FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Mohamed Salah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 6' A stunning finish from Darwin Nunez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 11' Wataru Endo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' James Trafford has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 22' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Sander Berge.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
  • 42' Liverpool FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' The travelling Liverpool FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 52' Burnley FC are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Liverpool FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harvey Elliott makes it 0-2.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Burnley FC and Liverpool FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 61' Another change for Burnley FC made on 61 minute. Mike Tresor leaves to be changed by Johann Berg Gudmundsson.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Liverpool FC! Curtis Jones comes on to replace Ryan Gravenberch.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Harvey Elliott is replaced by Dominik Szoboszlai on 67 minute.
  • 72' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luis Diaz, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 77' Poor challenge from Trent Alexander-Arnold. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 82' Joe Gomez, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Liverpool FC team. Darwin Nunez is replaced by Diogo Jota on 84 minute.
  • 85' Burnley FC ring the changes. Zeki Amdouni has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Redmond to step up.
  • 90' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Aaron Ramsey is hanging Josh Brownhill on the field on 90 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Dara O'Shea. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 90' Assisted by Luis Diaz with the perfectly-timed delivery and Diogo Jota makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC26% Draw29% Liverpool FC45%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Liverpool FC
74%
Burnley FC or Liverpool FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC19% Draw50% Liverpool FC31%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
12.1%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 23% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.