Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Darwin Nunez
0–2 90' Diogo Jota

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Marc Perry
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
05 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
02 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burnley FC A 2–0 W
23 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L
09 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
06 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Liverpool FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Alexander Isak 7 G
Victor Munoz 2 G
Cody Gakpo 1 G 3 A
Dominik Szoboszlai 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Turf Moor. Burnley FC are looking to make home advantage count against Liverpool FC.
  • 5' Luis Diaz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 6' Magnificent from Darwin Nunez! That is 91 goals in 21 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 11' Sander Berge is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dominik Szoboszlai made 226 appearances and scored 42 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' Trent Alexander-Arnold has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 22' Sander Berge was booked on 22.
  • 27' Liverpool FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' The 27-year-old Vitinho has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 5 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Virgil van Dijk suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' Assisted by Ryan Gravenberch with the perfectly-timed delivery and Harvey Elliott makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' Burnley FC ring the changes. Mike Tresor has done his job and it is now time for Johann Berg Gudmundsson to step up.
  • 66' Fresh legs for Liverpool FC! Curtis Jones comes on to replace Ryan Gravenberch.
  • 67' Dominik Szoboszlai is replacing Harvey Elliott for the Liverpool FC side.
  • 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Trent Alexander-Arnold on 77 minutes.
  • 82' It’s high time Jurgen Klopp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Diogo Jota. He replaces Darwin Nunez on 84 minute.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Nathan Redmond. He replaces Zeki Amdouni on 85 minute.
  • 90' Burnley FC ring the changes. Josh Brownhill has done his job and it is now time for Aaron Ramsey to step up.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dara O'Shea on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Magnificent from Diogo Jota! That is 90 goals in 358 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • With this win, Liverpool FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.97 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC26% Draw29% Liverpool FC45%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Liverpool FC
74%
Burnley FC or Liverpool FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC19% Draw50% Liverpool FC31%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
12.1%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 3
4%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 23% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.