Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 26 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Darwin Nunez
0–2 90' Diogo Jota

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FCPremier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Scott Ledger
  • Assistant 2 Marc Perry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
05 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
02 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Burnley FC A 2–0 W
23 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L
09 Dec Crystal Palace FC A 2–1 W
06 Dec Sheffield United FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Burnley FC Liverpool FC
#2 Position #12
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Liverpool FC are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Burnley FC gets underway.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 6' What a moment for Darwin Nunez! That strike on 6 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 11' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Liverpool FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 16' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 21' Curtis Jones has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 22' Sander Berge was booked on 22.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Liverpool FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 47' Liverpool FC is showing some good football. However, Liverpool FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 52' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' A stunning finish from Harvey Elliott — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Burnley FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Mike Tresor by Johann Berg Gudmundsson on 61 minute.
  • 66' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Ryan Gravenberch by Curtis Jones on 66 minute.
  • 67' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Harvey Elliott by Dominik Szoboszlai on 67 minute.
  • 72' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 77' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Trent Alexander-Arnold.
  • 82' Josh Brownhill has been relatively quiet despite scoring 45 goals in his last 387 appearances.
  • 84' Liverpool FC ring the changes. Darwin Nunez has done his job and it is now time for Diogo Jota to step up.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Nathan Redmond.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Josh Brownhill is replaced by Aaron Ramsey.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Dara O'Shea on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' Magnificent from Diogo Jota! That is 90 goals in 343 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.32 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Liverpool FC or Draw 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC17% Draw39% Liverpool FC44%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 66%
34%
± 1.5 33%
67%
± 2.5 12%
88%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Liverpool FC
83%
Burnley FC or Liverpool FC
61%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC6% Draw68% Liverpool FC26%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.6%
0 – 1
24.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 3
2.9%
2 – 1
1.4%
2 – 0
1.3%
1 – 3
1.3%
2 – 2
0.8%
0 – 4
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 10% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 29% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 12% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
73%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.