Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 7 Jan 2024 · 16:30 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 80' Jakub Kiwior og
0–2 90+5' Luis Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC — FA Cup at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
31 Dec Fulham FC A 1–2 L
28 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
17 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Dec PSV A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–0 W
01 Jan Newcastle United FC H 4–2 W
26 Dec Burnley FC A 2–0 W
23 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Arsenal FC
Martinelli 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Arsenal FC to score. At the same time, Liverpool FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Cody Gakpo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 416 games and scored 729 goals.
  • 15' Liverpool FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Conor Bradley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Arsenal FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Liverpool FC backline.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Arsenal FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Declan Rice has been relatively quiet despite scoring 31 goals in his last 346 appearances.
  • 59' The Liverpool FC bench stirs into life. Cody Gakpo is withdrawn and Diogo Jota gets his opportunity.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Martinelli. He replaces Reiss Nelson on 62 minute.
  • 65' William Saliba has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
  • 70' Liverpool FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Liverpool FC — Conor Bradley on, Harvey Elliott off on 75 minutes.
  • 76' The whistle greets Curtis Jones as he departs to be replaced by Bobby Clark.
  • 80' Jakub Kiwior does the damage! The net is bulging and Arsenal FC surge ahead!
  • 82' It is a substitution in Arsenal FC team. Jorginho is replaced by Eddie Nketiah on 82 minute.
  • 87' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aaron Ramsdale made 338 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' The whistle greets Kai Havertz as he departs to be replaced by Leandro Trossard.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Ryan Gravenberch on 90 minutes earns him a card. Liverpool FC will be frustrated.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Liverpool FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC28% Draw29% Liverpool FC43%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Liverpool FC
72%
Arsenal FC or Liverpool FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC20% Draw49% Liverpool FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.