Saturday , 14 November 2026

Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 7 Jan 2024 · 16:30 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 80' Jakub Kiwior og
0–2 90+5' Luis Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC — FA Cup at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Greenhalgh (England)
9 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
31 Dec Fulham FC A 1–2 L
28 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
17 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–0 W
12 Dec PSV A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Arsenal FC A 2–0 W
01 Jan Newcastle United FC H 4–2 W
26 Dec Burnley FC A 2–0 W
23 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
14 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 1–2 L

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Liverpool FC gets underway.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Trent Alexander-Arnold, as he is very good at scoring at Emirates Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Arsenal FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 15' Curtis Jones has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mikel Arteta might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Liverpool FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Aaron Ramsdale suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' The travelling Liverpool FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' Diogo Jota is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cody Gakpo at the 59 minute mark.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Arsenal FC — Martinelli on, Reiss Nelson off on 62 minutes.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a card for William Saliba on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Harvey Elliott catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
  • 75' The Liverpool FC manager makes a substitution. Harvey Elliott departs to be replaced by Conor Bradley.
  • 76' Curtis Jones makes way for Bobby Clark at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Liverpool FC.
  • 80' A goal from the Poland international Jakub Kiwior! He fires home on 80 to make it 1-0!
  • 82' Time for substitution for Arsenal FC. Jorginho is replaced by Eddie Nketiah.
  • 87' Arsenal FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 88' Kai Havertz makes way for Leandro Trossard at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Arsenal FC.
  • 90' Ryan Gravenberch has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • With this win, Liverpool FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC28% Draw29% Liverpool FC43%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Liverpool FC
72%
Arsenal FC or Liverpool FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC20% Draw49% Liverpool FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.