Saturday , 14 November 2026

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Fri 5 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Tottenham Hotspur Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Pedro Porro 79' 1–0
Y 21' Josh Cullen
Y 90' Mike Tresor

Overview

Match Preview

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Burnley FC H 1–0 W
31 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
28 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–4 L
23 Dec Everton FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 2–0 W
10 Dec Newcastle United FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Tottenham Hotspur FC to score. At the same time, Burnley FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Tottenham Hotspur FC is showing some good football. However, Tottenham Hotspur FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Burnley FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 21' That is a card for Burnley FC. Josh Cullen will be fuming at that decision.
  • 26' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Tottenham Hotspur FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 31' Tottenham Hotspur FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' Belgium international Ameen Al Dakhil has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Lyle Foster as he leaves the pitch. Jacob Bruun Larsen steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' It looks surprising Burnley FC does not make any changes. Josh Brownhill has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Another change for Burnley FC made on 58 minute. Wilson Odobert leaves to be changed by Josh Brownhill.
  • 63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Tottenham Hotspur FC and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 67' Anass Zaroury makes way for Mike Tresor at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 72' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ange Postecoglou will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 77' Pierre Emile Hojbjerg gets the nod from Tottenham Hotspur FC. He replaces Oliver Skipp and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' A goal from the Spain international Pedro Porro! He fires home on 79 to make it 1-0!
  • 84' Jamie Donley gets the nod from Tottenham Hotspur FC. He replaces Rodrigo Bentancur and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Josh Cullen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Tottenham Hotspur FC so far.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Mike Tresor. He receives a card.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Tottenham Hotspur FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC57% Draw25% Burnley FC18%
Actual: Tottenham Hotspur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Tottenham Hotspur FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Burnley FC
43%
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC37% Draw47% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Tottenham Hotspur FC

Handicap Tottenham Hotspur FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.