Sunday , 16 August 2026

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Fri 5 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Tottenham Hotspur Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Pedro Porro 79' 1–0
Y 21' Josh Cullen
Y 90' Mike Tresor

Overview

Match Preview

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FCFA Cup at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Burnley FC H 1–0 W
31 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
28 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–4 L
23 Dec Everton FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 2–0 W
10 Dec Newcastle United FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Tottenham Hotspur FC to score. At the same time, Burnley FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Aaron Ramsey has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 355 appearances.
  • 21' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 21.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wilson Odobert suffering a number of foals already.
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Josh Cullen, as he is very good at scoring at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 36' Burnley FC have won 404 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 41' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Tottenham Hotspur FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Burnley FCJacob Bruun Larsen on, Lyle Foster off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Wilson Odobert is replaced by Josh Brownhill on 58 minute.
  • 63' Both keepers have barely been tested. Tottenham Hotspur FC and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 67' Another change for Burnley FC made on 67 minute. Anass Zaroury leaves to be changed by Mike Tresor.
  • 72' Tottenham Hotspur FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Tottenham Hotspur FCPierre Emile Hojbjerg on, Oliver Skipp off on 77 minutes.
  • 79' A stunning finish from Pedro Porro — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' Jamie Donley gets the nod from Tottenham Hotspur FC. He replaces Rodrigo Bentancur and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' Mike Tresor catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Tottenham Hotspur FC and Burnley FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Tottenham Hotspur FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC57% Draw25% Burnley FC18%
Actual: Tottenham Hotspur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Tottenham Hotspur FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Burnley FC
43%
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC37% Draw47% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Tottenham Hotspur FC

Handicap Tottenham Hotspur FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.