Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Fri 5 Jan 2024 · 20:00 UTC Tottenham Hotspur Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Pedro Porro 79' 1–0
Y 21' Josh Cullen
Y 90' Mike Tresor

Overview

Match Preview

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
5 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Burnley FC H 1–0 W
31 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
28 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–4 L
23 Dec Everton FC H 2–1 W
15 Dec Nottingham Forest FC A 2–0 W
10 Dec Newcastle United FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–1 L
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–3 L
26 Dec Liverpool FC H 0–2 L
23 Dec Fulham FC A 2–0 W
16 Dec Everton FC H 0–2 L
09 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Tottenham Hotspur FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Tottenham Hotspur FC are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Dejan Kulusevski has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Jacob Bruun Larsen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 525 appearances.
  • 21' The referee shows Burnley FC player a card on 21.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' Kosovo international Arijanet Muric has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' Jacob Bruun Larsen gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Lyle Foster and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Tottenham Hotspur FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' Josh Brownhill is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wilson Odobert at the 58 minute mark.
  • 63' Richarlison is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Tottenham Hotspur FC tonight.
  • 67' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Anass Zaroury by Mike Tresor on 67 minute.
  • 72' Tottenham Hotspur FC is showing some good football. However, Tottenham Hotspur FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' The whistle greets Oliver Skipp as he departs to be replaced by Pierre Emile Hojbjerg.
  • 79' GOAL! Pedro Porro scores on 79.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Tottenham Hotspur FC! Jamie Donley comes on to replace Rodrigo Bentancur.
  • 89' Destiny Udogie is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Burnley FC so far.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Mike Tresor argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 Tottenham Hotspur FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Tottenham Hotspur FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC57% Draw25% Burnley FC18%
Actual: Tottenham Hotspur FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Tottenham Hotspur FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Burnley FC
43%
Tottenham Hotspur FC or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Tottenham Hotspur FC37% Draw47% Burnley FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Tottenham Hotspur FC

Handicap Tottenham Hotspur FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Tottenham Hotspur FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.