Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Fir Park 5,884 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Lawrence Shankland
0–2 71' Lawrence Shankland
Blair Spittal pen 78' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Munro
  • Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
  • Assistant 2 Dougie Potter

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–2 L
07 Nov St. Johnstone FC A 2–2 D
04 Nov Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
01 Nov Aberdeen FC H 2–4 L
28 Oct Ross County FC H 3–3 D
07 Oct Livingston FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Motherwell FC A 2–1 W
01 Nov Livingston FC H 1–0 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 1–2 L
22 Oct Celtic FC H 1–4 L
07 Oct Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep Ross County FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#8 Position #3
8 Points 13
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
9 Scored 14
11 Conceded 8
-2 GD +6
1.14 PPG 1.86
29% Win % 57%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Motherwell FC are 8th (8 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Motherwell FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/5
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC26% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC50%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
74%
Motherwell FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC20% Draw39% Heart of Midlothian FC41%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.