Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 1 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 17,970 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kenneth Vargas 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
  • Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Livingston FC H 1–0 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 1–2 L
22 Oct Celtic FC H 1–4 L
07 Oct Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep Ross County FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–1 L
28 Oct Dundee FC H 0–2 L
21 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 1–3 L
07 Oct Motherwell FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep St. Johnstone FC A 1–1 D
23 Sep Celtic FC H 0–3 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Livingston FC
#1 Position #12
70 Points 16
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 13 / 19
58 Scored 35
28 Conceded 66
+30 GD -31
2.12 PPG 0.48
64% Win % 3%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and Livingston FC.
  • 5' Heart of Midlothian FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Livingston FC is showing some good football. However, Livingston FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Beni Baningime.
  • 44' The referee calls foul for Aidan Denholm. He receives a card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Grant. He replaces Cameron Devlin on 46 minute.
  • 51' Heart of Midlothian FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Livingston FC's shape.
  • 56' A quiet spell here at Tynecastle. Heart of Midlothian FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 61' Beni Baningime has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Alan Forrest trudges off to be replaced by Yutaro Oda on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Jason Holt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Livingston FC team. Stephen Kelly is replaced by Jamie Brandon on 68 minute.
  • 69' Kenneth Vargas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Liam Boyce at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 76' Calem Nieuwenhof is ready to make an impact after coming on for Beni Baningime at the 76 minute mark.
  • 77' Livingston FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 79' What a strike from Kenneth Vargas! The score is 1-0.
  • 81' The Livingston FC bench stirs into life. Andrew Shinnie is withdrawn and Bruce Anderson gets his opportunity.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Livingston FCDanny Lloyd on, Jason Holt off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Livingston FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Miles Welch-Hayes as he leaves the pitch. Daniel MacKay steps in for Livingston FC.
  • 90' Bruce Anderson was booked on 90.
  • 90' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Andy Halliday comes on to replace Alex Lowry.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Heart of Midlothian FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.11 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC64% Draw22% Livingston FC14%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Livingston FC
36%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Livingston FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC47% Draw42% Livingston FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
6.5%
4 – 0
4.4%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
1 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 20% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 24% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.