Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Livingston FC

Wed 1 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle 17,970 HT 45' · FT 45'

Kenneth Vargas 79' 1–0

Beni Baningime 40' Y

Aidan Denholm 44' Y

Y 63' Jason Holt

Y 63' James Penrice

Y 77' Andrew Shinnie

Y 90' Bruce Anderson

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Livingston FC — Premier League at Tynecastle.

Heart of Midlothian FC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
Assistant 2 Sean Carr

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	2	6
2	St. Mirren FC	2	6
3	Motherwell FC	2	4
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	2	3
5	Dundee FC	2	3
6	St. Johnstone FC	2	3
7	Hibernian FC	2	3
8	Aberdeen FC	2	3
9	Rangers FC	2	1
10	Falkirk FC	2	1
11	Dundee United FC	2	1
12	Kilmarnock FC	2	0

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Livingston FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-11-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Livingston FC 2023-01-29 Livingston FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-11-12 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Livingston FC 2022-09-03 Livingston FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-03-19 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Livingston FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Nov	Livingston FC	H	1–0	W
29 Oct	Rangers FC	A	1–2	L
22 Oct	Celtic FC	H	1–4	L
07 Oct	Hibernian FC	H	2–2	D
30 Sep	Ross County FC	A	1–0	W
23 Sep	St. Mirren FC	A	0–1	L

Livingston FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Nov	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	0–1	L
28 Oct	Dundee FC	H	0–2	L
21 Oct	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–3	L
07 Oct	Motherwell FC	H	2–0	W
30 Sep	St. Johnstone FC	A	1–1	D
23 Sep	Celtic FC	H	0–3	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heart of Midlothian FC to score. At the same time, Livingston FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heart of Midlothian FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' Livingston FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
20' Heart of Midlothian FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
25' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
35' Michael Devlin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
40' That is a card for Heart of Midlothian FC. Beni Baningime will be fuming at that decision.
44' A moment of madness from Aidan Denholm on 44 minutes earns him a card. Heart of Midlothian FC will be frustrated.
46' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Cameron Devlin trudges off to be replaced by Jorge Grant on 46 minutes.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' Livingston FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
61' It looks surprising Livingston FC does not make any changes. Sean Kelly has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
62' Yutaro Oda is replacing Alan Forrest for the Heart of Midlothian FC side.
63' That is a card for Livingston FC. Jason Holt will be fuming at that decision.
68' The Livingston FC bench stirs into life. Stephen Kelly is withdrawn and Jamie Brandon gets his opportunity.
69' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Liam Boyce trudges off to be replaced by Kenneth Vargas on 69 minutes.
74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
76' The crowd applauds Beni Baningime as he leaves the pitch. Calem Nieuwenhof steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Andrew Shinnie on 77 minutes.
79' Kenneth Vargas doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
81' Fresh legs for Livingston FC! Bruce Anderson comes on to replace Andrew Shinnie.
82' Fresh legs for Livingston FC! Danny Lloyd comes on to replace Jason Holt.
87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Livingston FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
89' Livingston FC ring the changes. Miles Welch-Hayes has done his job and it is now time for Daniel MacKay to step up.
90' Bruce Anderson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
90' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Andy Halliday comes on to replace Alex Lowry.
Heart of Midlothian FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

21
Toby Sibbick
12
Michael McGovern
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 46'
5
Peter Haring
11
Yutaro Oda ↑ 62'
8
Calem Nieuwenhof ↑ 76'
29
Odel Offiah
16
Andy Halliday ↑ 90'
77
Kenneth Vargas ↑ 69'

Coach Steven Naismith

Livingston FC Lineups

Starting XI

18
Jason Holt ↓ Danny Lloyd 82'
22
Andrew Shinnie ↓ Bruce Anderson 81'
5
Michael Devlin
32
Jack Hamilton
8
Scott Pittman
10
Stephen Kelly ↓ Jamie Brandon 68'
14
Miles Welch-Hayes ↓ Daniel MacKay 89'
24
Sean Kelly
29
James Penrice
19
Joel Nouble
20
Mo Sangare

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Stephen Kelly	3
Lawrence Shankland	3
Michael Smith	2
Kenneth Vargas	2
Beni Baningime	2
Ryan Hardie	2
Claudio Braga	1
Alex Cochrane	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2023-11-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Livingston FC W 2023-10-29 Rangers FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-10-22 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–4 Celtic FC L 2023-10-07 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–2 Hibernian FC D 2023-09-30 Ross County FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2023-09-23 St. Mirren FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Livingston FC Form

2023-11-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Livingston FC L 2023-10-28 Livingston FC 0–2 Dundee FC L 2023-10-21 Kilmarnock FC 3–1 Livingston FC L 2023-10-07 Livingston FC 2–0 Motherwell FC W 2023-09-30 St. Johnstone FC 1–1 Livingston FC D 2023-09-23 Livingston FC 0–3 Celtic FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.27 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.98 Livingston FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC46% Draw29% Livingston FC25%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.25

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Livingston FC

54%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Livingston FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC29% Draw51% Livingston FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

12.7%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.1%

2 – 0

8.2%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

6.2%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.1%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Livingston FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.