Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Celtic FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 22 Oct 2023 · 13:15 UTC Tynecastle 17,608 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Matt O'Riley
0–2 23' Daizen Maeda
0–3 51' Kyogo Furuhashi
Lawrence Shankland 64' 2–3
2–4 81' Tomoki Iwata

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Celtic FCPremier League at Tynecastle.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Celtic FC H 1–4 L
07 Oct Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
30 Sep Ross County FC A 1–0 W
23 Sep St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
16 Sep Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
03 Sep Motherwell FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC A 4–1 W
07 Oct Kilmarnock FC H 3–1 W
04 Oct SS Lazio H 1–2 L
30 Sep Motherwell FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Livingston FC A 3–0 W
19 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Celtic FC
#1 Position #3
70 Points 67
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 21 / 4 / 8
58 Scored 59
28 Conceded 35
+30 GD +24
2.12 PPG 2.03
64% Win % 64%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Celtic FC are 3rd (67 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Tynecastle. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' What a strike from Matt O'Riley! The score is 0-1.
  • 9' Celtic FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 14' It’s high time Steven Naismith made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heart of Midlothian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 23' Daizen Maeda adds to his 1 season tally! Celtic FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 28' Alex Lowry has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 402 appearances.
  • 33' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 38' Celtic FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and Celtic FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 48' It looks surprising Celtic FC does not make any changes. Alex Cochrane has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 51' Against the run of play, Kyogo Furuhashi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' That is a card for Heart of Midlothian FC. Kenneth Vargas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' Beni Baningime gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Alex Lowry and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Toby Sibbick on 59.
  • 64' What composure from Lawrence Shankland! The Scotland international strokes it home. 1-3.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Celtic FC! James Forrest comes on to replace Luis Palma.
  • 66' Celtic FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomoki Iwata is hanging Reo Hatate on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 73' Liam Boyce gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Kenneth Vargas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James Forrest made 410 appearances and scored 53 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' Tomoki Iwata doubles the advantage! 1-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Jorge Grant. He replaces Cameron Devlin on 82 minute.
  • 87' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Reo Hatate.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Celtic FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC27% Draw25% Celtic FC48%
Actual: Celtic FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Celtic FC
73%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Celtic FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC22% Draw42% Celtic FC36%
Actual: Celtic FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Celtic FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 21% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Celtic FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.