Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kevin Clancy
- Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
- Assistant 2 Steven Traynor (Scotland)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Livingston FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Oct | Celtic FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | St. Mirren FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | Dundee FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Oct | St. Johnstone FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | Rangers FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | Ross County FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #8 |
| 28 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 18 |
| 37 | Scored | 33 |
| 65 | Conceded | 48 |
| -28 | GD | -15 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 18% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
22%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Kilmarnock FC have kicked off against Aberdeen FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' The 26-year-old Lewis Mayo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' Stuart Findlay has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Aberdeen FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brad Lyons, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' Aberdeen FC have won 357 goals from 350 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' That is a card for Aberdeen FC. Stefan Gartenmann will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' The Aberdeen FC bench stirs into life. Jack MacKenzie is withdrawn and Ryan Duncan gets his opportunity.
- 49' Against the run of play, Kyle Vassell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 51' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Joe Wright departs to be replaced by Robbie Deas.
- 56' Aberdeen FC make a change. Connor Barron trudges off to be replaced by Leighton Clarkson on 56 minutes.
- 61' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 64' Marley Watkins does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
- 69' Will Dennis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 335 appearances.
- 71' Ester Sokler is replacing Jamie McGrath for the Aberdeen FC side.
- 76' The energy levels are beginning to show. Barry Robson might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 85' Kilmarnock FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' Aberdeen FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
- 90' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Andrew Dallas on, Danny Armstrong off on 90 minutes.
- With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
19
Joe Wright ↓ Robbie Deas 51'
- 8
- 9
- 17
- 31
- 5
- 1
-
11
Danny Armstrong ↓ Andrew Dallas 90'
- 12
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Thomas Davies 90'
Bench
- 7
- 22
- 15
- 20
-
21
Andrew Dallas ↑ 90'
- 18
-
6
Robbie Deas ↑ 51'
- 14
-
19
Thomas Davies ↑ 90'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Aberdeen FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 24
- 2
- 5
-
4
Graeme Shinnie ↓ Dante Polvara 56'
-
3
Jack MacKenzie ↓ Ryan Duncan 46'
-
7
Jamie McGrath ↓ Ester Sokler 71'
- 33
- 8
- 6
- 9
- 11
Bench
- 27
- 17
- 34
-
10
Leighton Clarkson ↑ 56'
-
23
Ryan Duncan ↑ 46'
-
21
Dante Polvara ↑ 56'
- 28
- 14
-
19
Ester Sokler ↑ 71'
Coach
Barry Robson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Scott McKenna | 2 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 2 |
| Bojan Miovski | 2 |
| Pape Gueye | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Duk | 2 |
| Kyle Vassell | 2 |
| David Watson | 2 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kilmarnock FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
56%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

