Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 12:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,480 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kyle Vassell 45+4' 1–0
Marley Watkins 64' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Steven Traynor (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Livingston FC H 3–1 W
07 Oct Celtic FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
08 Oct St. Johnstone FC H 0–0 D
30 Sep Rangers FC A 3–1 W
24 Sep Ross County FC H 4–0 W
16 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Hibernian FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Aberdeen FC
#12 Position #7
5 Points 8
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
6 Scored 7
15 Conceded 8
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.14
14% Win % 29%

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Aberdeen FC are 7th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aberdeen FC
Kevin Nisbet 3 G 2 A
Lewis Mayo 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Rugby Park that hosts another battle between Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Aberdeen FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aberdeen FC backline.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their trying to find a way past Aberdeen FC's compact .
  • 30' Joe Wright has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Stefan Gartenmann is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' A change in the Aberdeen FC ranks — Jack MacKenzie exits the field as Ryan Duncan enters on 46.
  • 49' Kyle Vassell has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 51' Robbie Deas gets the nod from Kilmarnock FC. He replaces Joe Wright and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 56' Aberdeen FC ring the changes. Connor Barron has done his job and it is now time for Leighton Clarkson to step up.
  • 61' Ester Sokler needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 64' Marley Watkins does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
  • 69' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Aberdeen FC. Jamie McGrath is replaced by Ester Sokler.
  • 76' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dante Polvara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aberdeen FC.
  • 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' It’s gonna be a card for Brad Lyons.
  • 89' Ester Sokler is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Kilmarnock FC. Danny Armstrong is replaced by Andrew Dallas.
  • Full Time. Kilmarnock FC beats Aberdeen FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC38% Draw27% Aberdeen FC35%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
62%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC24% Draw47% Aberdeen FC29%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9%
0 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.