Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 12:00 UTC Rugby Park 5,480 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kyle Vassell 45+4' 1–0
Marley Watkins 64' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Clancy
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Stewart
  • Assistant 2 Steven Traynor (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
21 Oct Livingston FC H 3–1 W
07 Oct Celtic FC A 1–3 L
30 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
23 Sep Dundee FC A 2–2 D
16 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
08 Oct St. Johnstone FC H 0–0 D
30 Sep Rangers FC A 3–1 W
24 Sep Ross County FC H 4–0 W
16 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
03 Sep Hibernian FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Aberdeen FC
#11 Position #8
28 Points 33
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
37 Scored 33
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -15
0.85 PPG 1.00
18% Win % 27%

Key Stats

22% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Kilmarnock FC have kicked off against Aberdeen FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The 26-year-old Lewis Mayo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Stuart Findlay has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 16 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Aberdeen FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brad Lyons, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' Aberdeen FC have won 357 goals from 350 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 45' That is a card for Aberdeen FC. Stefan Gartenmann will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' The Aberdeen FC bench stirs into life. Jack MacKenzie is withdrawn and Ryan Duncan gets his opportunity.
  • 49' Against the run of play, Kyle Vassell has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 51' The Kilmarnock FC manager makes a substitution. Joe Wright departs to be replaced by Robbie Deas.
  • 56' Aberdeen FC make a change. Connor Barron trudges off to be replaced by Leighton Clarkson on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
  • 64' Marley Watkins does the damage! The net is bulging and Kilmarnock FC surge ahead!
  • 69' Will Dennis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 335 appearances.
  • 71' Ester Sokler is replacing Jamie McGrath for the Aberdeen FC side.
  • 76' The energy levels are beginning to show. Barry Robson might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' Kilmarnock FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' Aberdeen FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCAndrew Dallas on, Danny Armstrong off on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Kilmarnock FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC44% Draw27% Aberdeen FC29%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
56%
Kilmarnock FC or Aberdeen FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC30% Draw46% Aberdeen FC24%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.