Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 9 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
05 Oct St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
01 Oct Aberdeen FC A 1–4 L
17 Sep Livingston FC A 0–1 L
03 Sep Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
27 Aug Motherwell FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
01 Oct Rangers FC H 0–4 L
18 Sep Motherwell FC A 3–0 W
03 Sep Livingston FC A 0–1 L
28 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
25 Aug FC Zurich H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#11 Position #1
28 Points 70
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
37 Scored 58
65 Conceded 28
-28 GD +30
0.85 PPG 2.12
18% Win % 64%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Kilmarnock FC host Heart of Midlothian FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Kilmarnock FC have won 271 goals from 260 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Barrie McKay has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 47' Christopher Stokes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 52' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
  • 57' Kilmarnock FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 59' GOAL! Kyle Lafferty fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 62' Stephen Humphrys makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Heart of Midlothian FC are in front.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Oliver Shaw. He replaces Jordan Jones on 66 minute.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Christian Doidge comes on to replace Kyle Lafferty.
  • 70' Jorge Grant gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Orestis Kiomourtzoglou and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Danny Armstrong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 260 appearances.
  • 78' The whistle greets Christopher Stokes as he departs to be replaced by Joe Wright.
  • 79' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Christian Doidge.
  • 87' Brad Lyons is ready to make an impact after coming on for Blair Alston at the 87 minute mark.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 76% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC34% Draw24% Heart of Midlothian FC42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
66%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC21% Draw42% Heart of Midlothian FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.