Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Motherwell FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Oct | Rangers FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | Motherwell FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Zurich | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #1 |
| 28 | Points | 70 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 6 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 21 / 7 / 5 |
| 37 | Scored | 58 |
| 65 | Conceded | 28 |
| -28 | GD | +30 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 2.12 |
| 18% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Kilmarnock FC host Heart of Midlothian FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Kilmarnock FC have won 271 goals from 260 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Barrie McKay has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Heart of Midlothian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Kilmarnock FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Derek McInnes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 47' Christopher Stokes is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 52' Kilmarnock FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 52.
- 57' Kilmarnock FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
- 59' GOAL! Kyle Lafferty fires home to make it 2-0!
- 62' Stephen Humphrys makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Heart of Midlothian FC are in front.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Oliver Shaw. He replaces Jordan Jones on 66 minute.
- 67' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Christian Doidge comes on to replace Kyle Lafferty.
- 70' Jorge Grant gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Orestis Kiomourtzoglou and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Danny Armstrong has been relatively quiet despite scoring 21 goals in his last 260 appearances.
- 78' The whistle greets Christopher Stokes as he departs to be replaced by Joe Wright.
- 79' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Christian Doidge.
- 87' Brad Lyons is ready to make an impact after coming on for Blair Alston at the 87 minute mark.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Christopher Stokes ↓ Joe Wright 78'
-
8
Blair Alston ↓ Brad Lyons 87'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↓ Ryan Alebiosu 87'
-
10
Jordan Jones ↓ Oliver Shaw 66'
- 4
- 28
- 2
- 33
- 5
- 11
- 1
Bench
- 20
-
26
Christian Doidge ↑ 67'
-
19
Joe Wright ↑ 78'
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 87'
- 21
-
9
Oliver Shaw ↑ 66'
- 31
- 27
-
25
Ryan Alebiosu ↑ 87'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 77
- 3
- 29
- 1
-
16
Andrew Halliday ↓ Lewis Neilson 87'
- 12
- 17
- 9
- 8
- 19
Bench
- 21
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 70'
- 11
- 27
- 5
- 28
- 13
- 22
-
20
Lewis Neilson ↑ 87'
Coach
Robbie Neilson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Josh Ginnelly | 1 |
| Bobby Wales | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2022-10-09
Kilmarnock FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2022-10-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–4
Rangers FC
L
2022-09-18
Motherwell FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-09-03
Livingston FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2022-08-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
St. Johnstone FC
W
2022-08-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–1
FC Zurich
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 76% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
66%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 21% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

