Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 9 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
05 Oct St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
01 Oct Aberdeen FC A 1–4 L
17 Sep Livingston FC A 0–1 L
03 Sep Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
27 Aug Motherwell FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 2–2 D
01 Oct Rangers FC H 0–4 L
18 Sep Motherwell FC A 3–0 W
03 Sep Livingston FC A 0–1 L
28 Aug St. Johnstone FC H 3–2 W
25 Aug FC Zurich H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#12 Position #3
5 Points 13
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 2
6 Scored 14
15 Conceded 8
-9 GD +6
0.71 PPG 1.86
14% Win % 57%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 5' It’s high time Robbie Neilson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Heart of Midlothian FC backline.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their trying to find a way past Heart of Midlothian FC's compact .
  • 25' Rory McKenzie, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Jorge Grant has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 47' Christopher Stokes puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
  • 52' Ashton Taylor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 57' Danny Armstrong catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 57.
  • 59' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Lafferty makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 62' The England Stephen Humphrys breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 2-1!
  • 66' The whistle greets Jordan Jones as he departs to be replaced by Oliver Shaw.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Christian Doidge comes on to replace Kyle Lafferty.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Jorge Grant on, Orestis Kiomourtzoglou off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 75 minutes.
  • 78' Christopher Stokes makes way for Joe Wright at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stephen Kingsley on 79.
  • 82' Kilmarnock FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' The whistle greets Blair Alston as he departs to be replaced by Brad Lyons.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC31% Draw22% Heart of Midlothian FC47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC19% Draw39% Heart of Midlothian FC42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 3
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 21% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 17% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.