Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Motherwell FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Oct | Rangers FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | Motherwell FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Zurich | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 5 | Points | 13 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 2 |
| 6 | Scored | 14 |
| 15 | Conceded | 8 |
| -9 | GD | +6 |
| 0.71 | PPG | 1.86 |
| 14% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Claudio Braga | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joshua McPake | 1 G | 1 A |
| Calvin Miller | 1 G | |
| Tom Renaud | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 5' It’s high time Robbie Neilson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Kilmarnock FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Heart of Midlothian FC backline.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Kilmarnock FC in their trying to find a way past Heart of Midlothian FC's compact .
- 25' Rory McKenzie, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Derek McInnes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' Jorge Grant has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' A quiet spell here at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park. Kilmarnock FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Heart of Midlothian FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' Christopher Stokes puts Kilmarnock FC on the lead.
- 52' Ashton Taylor needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 57' Danny Armstrong catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 57.
- 59' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kyle Lafferty makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 62' The England Stephen Humphrys breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 2-1!
- 66' The whistle greets Jordan Jones as he departs to be replaced by Oliver Shaw.
- 67' Fresh legs for Kilmarnock FC! Christian Doidge comes on to replace Kyle Lafferty.
- 70' A tactical swap from Heart of Midlothian FC — Jorge Grant on, Orestis Kiomourtzoglou off on 70 minutes.
- 75' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 75 minutes.
- 78' Christopher Stokes makes way for Joe Wright at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stephen Kingsley on 79.
- 82' Kilmarnock FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 87' The whistle greets Blair Alston as he departs to be replaced by Brad Lyons.
- The final score is 2-2.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Christopher Stokes ↓ Joe Wright 78'
-
8
Blair Alston ↓ Brad Lyons 87'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↓ Ryan Alebiosu 87'
-
10
Jordan Jones ↓ Oliver Shaw 66'
- 4
- 28
- 2
- 33
- 5
- 11
- 1
Bench
- 20
-
26
Christian Doidge ↑ 67'
-
19
Joe Wright ↑ 78'
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 87'
- 21
-
9
Oliver Shaw ↑ 66'
- 31
- 27
-
25
Ryan Alebiosu ↑ 87'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 77
- 3
- 29
- 1
-
16
Andrew Halliday ↓ Lewis Neilson 87'
- 12
- 17
- 9
- 8
- 19
Bench
- 21
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 70'
- 11
- 27
- 5
- 28
- 13
- 22
-
20
Lewis Neilson ↑ 87'
Coach
Robbie Neilson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Fraser Murray | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2022-10-09
Kilmarnock FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2022-10-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–4
Rangers FC
L
2022-09-18
Motherwell FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-09-03
Livingston FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2022-08-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
St. Johnstone FC
W
2022-08-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–1
FC Zurich
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
53%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
69%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 3
6.8%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +1 | 43% | 21% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 17% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

