Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Kilmarnock FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park.
- Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Heart of Midlothian FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Oct | St. Johnstone FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Oct | Aberdeen FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 17 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Sep | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Aug | Motherwell FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Kilmarnock FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Oct | Rangers FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | Motherwell FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | Livingston FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Zurich | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Kilmarnock FC | Heart of Midlothian FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 9 | Points | 20 |
| 13 | Played | 12 |
| 2 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 4 |
| 13 | Scored | 26 |
| 29 | Conceded | 22 |
| -16 | GD | +4 |
| 0.69 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 15% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/4
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/3
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Kilmarnock FC
| Greg Kiltie | 3 G | |
| Joe Hugill | 2 G | 2 A |
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G | |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 6 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. kilmarnock fc kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. kilmarnock fc needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' It’s high time Robbie Neilson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Robbie Neilson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with heart of midlothian fc winning 0% of all matches.
- 40' It is a cagey affair so far. kilmarnock fc in their trying to find a way past heart of midlothian fc's compact .
- 45' The travelling heart of midlothian fc supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 47' GOAL! Christopher Stokes fires home to make it 0-1!
- 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Barrie McKay, as he is very good at scoring at The BBSP Stadium, Rugby Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' Danny Armstrong catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 57.
- 59' Goal! Kyle Lafferty scores his 23 goal in 414 matches.
- 62' Stephen Humphrys does the damage! The net is bulging and Heart of Midlothian FC surge ahead!
- 66' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Jordan Jones is withdrawn and Oliver Shaw gets his opportunity.
- 67' Kyle Lafferty makes way for Christian Doidge at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kilmarnock FC.
- 70' Another substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC to replace Orestis Kiomourtzoglou by Jorge Grant on 70 minute.
- 75' Ashton Taylor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 273 appearances.
- 78' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Christopher Stokes has done his job and it is now time for Joe Wright to step up.
- 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stephen Kingsley on 79.
- 82' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Christian Doidge gets a Yellow card.
- 87' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Brad Lyons on, Blair Alston off on 87 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Christopher Stokes ↓ Joe Wright 78'
-
8
Blair Alston ↓ Brad Lyons 87'
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↓ Ryan Alebiosu 87'
-
10
Jordan Jones ↓ Oliver Shaw 66'
- 4
- 28
- 2
- 33
- 5
- 11
- 1
Bench
- 20
-
26
Christian Doidge ↑ 67'
-
19
Joe Wright ↑ 78'
-
17
Brad Lyons ↑ 87'
- 21
-
9
Oliver Shaw ↑ 66'
- 31
- 27
-
25
Ryan Alebiosu ↑ 87'
Coach
Derek McInnes
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 77
- 3
- 29
- 1
-
16
Andrew Halliday ↓ Lewis Neilson 87'
- 12
- 17
- 9
- 8
- 19
Bench
- 21
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 70'
- 11
- 27
- 5
- 28
- 13
- 22
-
20
Lewis Neilson ↑ 87'
Coach
Robbie Neilson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chris Burke | 4 |
| Lawrence Shankland | 3 |
| Stuart Findlay | 2 |
| Danny Armstrong | 2 |
| Eamonn Brophy | 2 |
| Stephen Kingsley | 2 |
| Sean Clare | 2 |
| Steven Naismith | 1 |
Head to Head
Kilmarnock FC Form
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2022-10-09
Kilmarnock FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2022-10-01
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–4
Rangers FC
L
2022-09-18
Motherwell FC
0–3
Heart of Midlothian FC
W
2022-09-03
Livingston FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2022-08-28
Heart of Midlothian FC
3–2
St. Johnstone FC
W
2022-08-25
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–1
FC Zurich
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for:
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 78% + Over 2.5 goals 74%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Kilmarnock FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
64%
Kilmarnock FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC
| Handicap | Kilmarnock FC covers | Push | Heart of Midlothian FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 19% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

