KV Mechelen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Jupiler Pro League · 2024-25

KV Mechelen

5 – 0

Full Time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne HT 45' · FT 45'

R 13' Federico Ricca

Jose Marsa 27' Y

Y 64' Birger Verstraete

Y 74' Ezechiel Banzuzi

Overview

Match Preview

KV Mechelen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.

KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 games · 34 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Wesli De Cremer

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	30	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	63
3	K. Sint-Truidense VV	30	57
4	KAA Gent	30	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	45
6	RSC Anderlecht	30	44
7	KRC Genk	30	42
8	Royal Standard de Liege	30	40
9	KVC Westerlo	30	39
10	Royal Antwerp FC	30	35
11	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	30	34
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	34
13	SV Zulte-Waregem	30	32
14	UR La Louviere Centre	30	31
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	31
16	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	30	19

Head-to-Head

KV Mechelen 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-05 KV Mechelen 5–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2024-03-17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen 2023-09-23 KV Mechelen 1–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2023-04-08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–1 KV Mechelen 2022-09-17 KV Mechelen 0–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Recent Form

KV Mechelen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	H	5–0	W
28 Sep	KRC Genk	A	1–2	L
22 Sep	Cercle Brugge KSV	H	2–0	W
15 Sep	KAA Gent	A	0–2	L
31 Aug	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	H	5–2	W
24 Aug	Royal Antwerp FC	A	1–0	W

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	KV Mechelen	A	0–5	L
29 Sep	KAA Gent	A	0–3	L
22 Sep	KV Kortrijk	H	1–1	D
15 Sep	K. Sint-Truidense VV	A	1–2	L
31 Aug	Royal Standard de Liege	H	2–0	W
24 Aug	KVC Westerlo	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

KV Mechelen		Oud-Heverlee Leuven
#5	Position	#12
45	Points	34
30	Played	30
12 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 7 / 14
39	Scored	32
37	Conceded	43
+2	GD	-11
1.50	PPG	1.13
40%	Win %	30%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 12th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for KV Mechelen to score. At the same time, Oud-Heverlee Leuven does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar García might look to freshen things up shortly.
13' Oud-Heverlee Leuven receives a card for a hard tackle on 13.
14' Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi adds to his 0 season tally! Oud-Heverlee Leuven lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
18' Goal! Rob Schoofs scores his 26 goal in 223 matches.
21' Takuma Ominami is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi at the 21 minute mark.
26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oud-Heverlee Leuven that had 184 games and scored 229 goals.
27' The referee shows KV Mechelen player a card on 27.
32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
37' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
46' Jose Marsa makes way for Bilal Bafdili at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from KV Mechelen.
51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
56' It looks surprising Oud-Heverlee Leuven does not make any changes. Hamza Mendyl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
58' GOAL! Lion Lauberbach fires home to make it 2-1!
59' A change in the Oud-Heverlee Leuven ranks — Konan N'Dri exits the field as Hamza Mendyl enters on 59.
64' Birger Verstraete catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 64.
64' Sandy Walsh gets the nod from KV Mechelen. He replaces Rafik Belghali and will look to change the dynamic.
69' Oud-Heverlee Leuven come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
72' KV Mechelen make a change. Nikola Storm trudges off to be replaced by Petter Dahl on 72 minutes.
74' The referee has no hesitation. Ezechiel Banzuzi is booked for Oud-Heverlee Leuven — card on 74.
77' The Norway Petter Dahl breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 3-1!
78' The KV Mechelen bench stirs into life. Lion Lauberbach is withdrawn and Benito Raman gets his opportunity.
83' The home supporters are growing impatient. KV Mechelen must find a spark to ignite this game.
88' Oud-Heverlee Leuven have won 229 goals from 184 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — KV Mechelen 5-0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven.

Lineups

KV Mechelen Lineups

Starting XI

20
Lion Lauberbach ↓ Benito Raman 78'
23
Daam Foulon
1
Ortwin De Wolf
7
Geoffry Hairemans ↓ Patrick Pflucke 78'
19
Kerim Mrabti
16
Rob Schoofs
11
Nikola Storm ↓ Petter Dahl 72'
4
Toon Raemaekers
6
Ahmed Touba
3
Jose Marsa ↓ Bilal Bafdili 46'
17
Rafik Belghali ↓ Sandy Walsh 64'

Bench

14
Benito Raman ↑ 78'
5
Sandy Walsh ↑ 64'
15
Yannick Thoelen
77
Patrick Pflucke ↑ 78'
35
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 46'
10
Petter Dahl ↑ 72'
39
Isaac Asante
36
Elton Yeboah
33
Lukas Baert

Coach Besnik Hasi

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lineups

Starting XI

8
Siebe Schrijvers ↓ Ezechiel Banzuzi 59'
14
Federico Ricca
21
William Balikwisha
4
Birger Verstraete ↓ Youssef Maziz 72'
1
Tobe Leysen
33
Mathieu Maertens
27
Oscar Gil Regano ↓ Thibault Vlietinck 59'
30
Takahiro Akimoto
11
Konan N'Dri ↓ Hamza Mendyl 59'
58
Hasan Kurucay
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi ↓ Takuma Ominami 21'

Bench

Coach Óscar García

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mousa Ta'mari	2
Mathieu Maertens	2
Kerim Mrabti	2
Nathaniel Opoku	2
Casper De Norre	2
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi	1
Stefan Mitrovic	1
David Hubert	1

Head to Head

KV Mechelen Form

2024-10-05 KV Mechelen 5–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven W 2024-09-28 KRC Genk 2–1 KV Mechelen L 2024-09-22 KV Mechelen 2–0 Cercle Brugge KSV W 2024-09-15 KAA Gent 2–0 KV Mechelen L 2024-08-31 KV Mechelen 5–2 Sporting du Pays de Charleroi W 2024-08-24 Royal Antwerp FC 0–1 KV Mechelen W

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Form

2024-10-05 KV Mechelen 5–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2024-09-29 KAA Gent 3–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2024-09-22 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 KV Kortrijk D 2024-09-15 K. Sint-Truidense VV 2–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2024-08-31 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2–0 Royal Standard de Liege W 2024-08-24 KVC Westerlo 1–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.25 KV Mechelen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG

I would bet for: KV Mechelen to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

KV Mechelen62% Draw22% Oud-Heverlee Leuven16%

Actual: KV Mechelen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 3.15

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

KV Mechelen or Draw

84%

Draw or Oud-Heverlee Leuven

38%

KV Mechelen or Oud-Heverlee Leuven

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

KV Mechelen48% Draw40% Oud-Heverlee Leuven12%

Actual: KV Mechelen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted

5 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

10.8%

1 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

9.2%

3 – 0

7.9%

3 – 1

0 – 0

5.8%

4 – 0

4.4%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 1

1 – 2

3.8%

0 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen

Handicap	KV Mechelen covers	Push	Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	20%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	23%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.