KV Mechelen vs Sporting du Pays de Charleroi, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
KV Mechelen vs Sporting du Pays de Charleroi — Jupiler League at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne.
- KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 30 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bram Van Driessche
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 30 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 30 | 57 |
| 4 | KAA Gent | 30 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | RSC Anderlecht | 30 | 44 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 30 | 42 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liege | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Royal Antwerp FC | 30 | 35 |
| 11 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 30 | 32 |
| 14 | UR La Louviere Centre | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 31 |
| 16 | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | 30 | 19 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | H | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | Royal Antwerp FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Aug | Royal Standard de Liege | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Aug | KVC Westerlo | H | 2–4 | L |
| 26 Jul | Club Brugge KV | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | KV Mechelen | A | 2–5 | L |
| 25 Aug | KV Kortrijk | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Aug | KAA Gent | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Aug | K. Sint-Truidense VV | A | 4–1 | W |
| 28 Jul | Royal Antwerp FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| KV Mechelen | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 45 | Points | 34 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 12 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 14 |
| 39 | Scored | 38 |
| 37 | Conceded | 42 |
| +2 | GD | -4 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.13 |
| 40% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts). Sporting du Pays de Charleroi are 11th (34 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne will turn into a battlefield for KV Mechelen and Sporting du Pays de Charleroi.
- 5' Rafik Belghali has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 4 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' Daan Heymans has been relatively quiet despite scoring 35 goals in his last 104 appearances.
- 11' Assisted by Rob Schoofs with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nikola Storm makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 15' It’s a booking for Sporting du Pays de Charleroi player. Cheick Keita gets a card.
- 20' KV Mechelen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 22' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stelios Andreou on 22.
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohamed Kone, as he is very good at scoring at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' Rob Schoofs has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 33' What a moment for Daan Heymans! That strike on 33 puts his side firmly in control.
- 38' Jeremy Petris catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 39' Brilliant from the ! Kerim Mrabti makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 39.
- 40' Parfait Guiagon makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Sporting du Pays de Charleroi are in front.
- 45' A goal from the Belgium international Nikola Storm! He fires home on 45 to make it 3-2!
- 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 55' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering KV Mechelen that had 223 games and scored 299 goals.
- 57' Assisted by Rafik Belghali with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rob Schoofs makes no mistake. 4-2!
- 61' Mardochee Nzita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vetle Dragsnes at the 61 minute mark.
- 66' The 25-year-old Aziz Ouattara has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 68' The whistle greets Rafik Belghali as he departs to be replaced by Benito Raman.
- 72' Isaac Mbenza is ready to make an impact after coming on for Antoine Bernier at the 72 minute mark.
- 73' It is a substitution in Sporting du Pays de Charleroi team. Parfait Guiagon is replaced by Aiham Ousou on 73 minute.
- 75' Bilal Bafdili gets the nod from KV Mechelen. He replaces Rob Schoofs and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' A change in the KV Mechelen ranks — Nikola Storm exits the field as Petter Dahl enters on 76.
- 79' What a moment for Benito Raman! That strike on 79 puts his side firmly in control.
- 82' Fresh legs for KV Mechelen! Elton Yeboah comes on to replace Kerim Mrabti.
- 85' Elton Yeboah catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 90' Aiham Ousou needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 1
-
19
Kerim Mrabti ↓ Elton Yeboah 82'
- 77
-
16
Rob Schoofs ↓ Bilal Bafdili 75'
-
11
Nikola Storm ↓ Petter Dahl 76'
- 4
- 29
- 3
- 32
-
17
Rafik Belghali ↓ Benito Raman 68'
Bench
-
14
Benito Raman ↑ 68'
-
5
Sandy Walsh ↑ 68'
- 7
- 15
-
35
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 75'
-
10
Petter Dahl ↑ 76'
- 39
-
36
Elton Yeboah ↑ 82'
- 33
Coach
Besnik Hasi
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
17
Antoine Bernier ↓ Isaac Mbenza 72'
-
8
Parfait Guiagon ↓ Aiham Ousou 73'
-
98
Jeremy Petris ↓ Zan Rogelj 61'
- 5
- 30
- 21
- 6
-
9
Oday Dabbagh ↓ Youssuf Sylla 73'
- 15
- 95
Bench
-
7
Isaac Mbenza ↑ 72'
-
4
Aiham Ousou ↑ 73'
- 33
-
80
Youssuf Sylla ↑ 73'
- 56
-
29
Zan Rogelj ↑ 61'
-
24
Mardochee Nzita ↑ 61'
- 22
Coach
Rik De Mil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Geoffry Hairemans | 6 |
| Nikola Storm | 5 |
| Adem Zorgane | 4 |
| Jordi Vanlerberghe | 2 |
| Benito Raman | 2 |
| Kaveh Rezaei | 2 |
| Nurio Fortuna | 1 |
| Igor de Camargo | 1 |
Head to Head
KV Mechelen Form
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi Form
2024-08-31
KV Mechelen
5–2
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
L
2024-08-25
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
1–0
KV Kortrijk
W
2024-08-16
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1–0
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
L
2024-08-11
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
1–0
KAA Gent
W
2024-08-03
K. Sint-Truidense VV
1–4
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
W
2024-07-28
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
0–1
Royal Antwerp FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.16
KV Mechelen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: KV Mechelen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
KV Mechelen or Draw
72%
Draw or Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
51%
KV Mechelen or Sporting du Pays de Charleroi
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: KV Mechelen win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — KV Mechelen
| Handicap | KV Mechelen covers | Push | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 19% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Sporting du Pays de Charleroi keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

