Thursday , 2 July 2026

KAA Gent vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Jupiler Pro League · 2024-25
Sun 29 Sep 2024 · 16:30 UTC Ghelamco Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KAA Gent vs Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler League at Ghelamco Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Lawrence Visser

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep Oud-Heverlee Leuven H 3–0 W
26 Sep Cercle Brugge KSV A 1–2 L
22 Sep Club Brugge KV A 4–2 W
15 Sep KV Mechelen H 2–0 W
01 Sep Royal Antwerp FC H 1–1 D
18 Aug KVC Westerlo H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Sep KAA Gent A 0–3 L
22 Sep KV Kortrijk H 1–1 D
15 Sep K. Sint-Truidense VV A 1–2 L
31 Aug Royal Standard de Liege H 2–0 W
24 Aug KVC Westerlo A 1–1 D
18 Aug Cercle Brugge KSV H 1–1 D

Season Stats

KAA Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
#4 Position #12
45 Points 34
30 Played 30
13 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 14
49 Scored 32
43 Conceded 43
+6 GD -11
1.50 PPG 1.13
43% Win % 30%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts). Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 12th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. KAA Gent is hosting Oud-Heverlee Leuven for another epic battle.
  • 5' The travelling Oud-Heverlee Leuven supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 9' Magnificent from Max Dean! That is 9 goals in 177 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 13' Magnificent from Noah Fadiga! That is 11 goals in 351 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Stefan Mitrovic made 6 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' Hugo Gambor is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Oud-Heverlee Leuven tonight.
  • 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' Franck Surdez is having his name booked by the referee on 39.
  • 44' Oud-Heverlee Leuven started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Siebe Schrijvers on 45.
  • 46' Oud-Heverlee Leuven manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. William Balikwisha is hanging Siebe Schrijvers on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Oud-Heverlee Leuven come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oud-Heverlee Leuven needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' KAA Gent are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Oud-Heverlee Leuven's shape.
  • 63' The whistle greets Noah Fadiga as he departs to be replaced by Matisse Samoise.
  • 64' Zalan Vancsa makes way for Pieter Gerkens at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from KAA Gent.
  • 66' Oud-Heverlee Leuven player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Oud-Heverlee LeuvenMickael Biron on, Stefan Mitrovic off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' KAA Gent is showing some good football. However, KAA Gent are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 76' Tiago Araujo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franck Surdez at the 76 minute mark.
  • 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andri Gudjohnsen makes it 3-0.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Takuma Ominami as he leaves the pitch. Hamza Mendyl steps in for Oud-Heverlee Leuven.
  • 88' Both keepers have barely been tested. KAA Gent and Oud-Heverlee Leuven are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' Another substitution for KAA Gent to replace Archie Brown by Helio Varela on 90 minute.
  • 3-0 the final result. Oud-Heverlee Leuven will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23 KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG
I would bet for: KAA Gent to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent67% Draw20% Oud-Heverlee Leuven13%
Actual: KAA Gent win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

KAA Gent or Draw
87%
Draw or Oud-Heverlee Leuven
33%
KAA Gent or Oud-Heverlee Leuven
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent49% Draw40% Oud-Heverlee Leuven11%
Actual: KAA Gent win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — KAA Gent

Handicap KAA Gent covers Push Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 21% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 23% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
46%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.