Thursday , 2 July 2026

KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Jupiler Pro League · 2024-25
2 0
Full Time
Sun 15 Sep 2024 · 17:15 UTC Ghelamco Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KAA Gent vs KV MechelenJupiler League at Ghelamco Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Van Damme

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Sep KV Mechelen H 2–0 W
01 Sep Royal Antwerp FC H 1–1 D
18 Aug KVC Westerlo H 4–1 W
11 Aug Sporting du Pays de Charleroi A 0–1 L
04 Aug FC Verbroedering Dender EH H 1–2 L
28 Jul KV Kortrijk A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Sep KAA Gent A 0–2 L
31 Aug Sporting du Pays de Charleroi H 5–2 W
24 Aug Royal Antwerp FC A 1–0 W
17 Aug RSC Anderlecht H 1–3 L
09 Aug Royal Standard de Liege A 0–0 D
03 Aug KVC Westerlo H 2–4 L

Season Stats

KAA Gent KV Mechelen
#4 Position #5
45 Points 45
30 Played 30
13 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 9 / 9
49 Scored 39
43 Conceded 37
+6 GD +2
1.50 PPG 1.50
43% Win % 40%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for KAA Gent to score. At the same time, KV Mechelen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 6' What a strike from Franck Surdez! The score is 1-0.
  • 11' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 12' It’s gonna be a card for Daam Foulon.
  • 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Besnik Hasi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 31' Against the run of play, Noah Fadiga has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 36' KV Mechelen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Jules Van Cleemput has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' Time for substitution for KV Mechelen. Jose Marsa is replaced by Ahmed Touba.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rob Schoofs, as he is very good at scoring at Ghelamco Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Atsuki Ito is replacing Sven Kums for the KAA Gent side.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Archie Brown.
  • 69' Time for substitution for KAA Gent. Max Dean is replaced by Andri Gudjohnsen.
  • 70' It is a substitution in KAA Gent team. Omri Gandelman is replaced by Pieter Gerkens on 70 minute.
  • 71' A change in the KV Mechelen ranks — Nikola Storm exits the field as Petter Dahl enters on 71.
  • 76' KAA Gent are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 79' A tactical swap from KAA Gent — Helio Varela on, Franck Surdez off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' It is a cagey affair so far. KAA Gent in their trying to find a way past KV Mechelen's compact .
  • 89' Jules Van Cleemput is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for KV Mechelen tonight.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Helio Varela. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
KAA Gent53% Draw26% KV Mechelen21%
Actual: KAA Gent win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

KAA Gent or Draw
79%
Draw or KV Mechelen
47%
KAA Gent or KV Mechelen
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KAA Gent37% Draw46% KV Mechelen17%
Actual: KAA Gent win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — KAA Gent

Handicap KAA Gent covers Push KV Mechelen covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
38%
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.