KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
KAA Gent vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Ghelamco Arena.
- KAA Gent 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
- KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kevin Van Damme
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 30 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 30 | 57 |
| 4 | KAA Gent | 30 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | RSC Anderlecht | 30 | 44 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 30 | 42 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liege | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Royal Antwerp FC | 30 | 35 |
| 11 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 30 | 32 |
| 14 | UR La Louviere Centre | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 31 |
| 16 | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | 30 | 19 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | KV Mechelen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Sep | Royal Antwerp FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | KVC Westerlo | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Aug | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jul | KV Kortrijk | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | KAA Gent | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | H | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | Royal Antwerp FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–3 | L |
| 09 Aug | Royal Standard de Liege | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Aug | KVC Westerlo | H | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| KAA Gent | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 45 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 13 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 49 | Scored | 39 |
| 43 | Conceded | 37 |
| +6 | GD | +2 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 43% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
KAA Gent are 4th (45 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for KAA Gent to score. At the same time, KV Mechelen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 6' What a strike from Franck Surdez! The score is 1-0.
- 11' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 12' It’s gonna be a card for Daam Foulon.
- 17' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 27' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Besnik Hasi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 31' Against the run of play, Noah Fadiga has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 36' KV Mechelen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' Jules Van Cleemput has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for KV Mechelen. Jose Marsa is replaced by Ahmed Touba.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rob Schoofs, as he is very good at scoring at Ghelamco Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' Atsuki Ito is replacing Sven Kums for the KAA Gent side.
- 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Archie Brown.
- 69' Time for substitution for KAA Gent. Max Dean is replaced by Andri Gudjohnsen.
- 70' It is a substitution in KAA Gent team. Omri Gandelman is replaced by Pieter Gerkens on 70 minute.
- 71' A change in the KV Mechelen ranks — Nikola Storm exits the field as Petter Dahl enters on 71.
- 76' KAA Gent are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' A tactical swap from KAA Gent — Helio Varela on, Franck Surdez off on 79 minutes.
- 84' It is a cagey affair so far. KAA Gent in their trying to find a way past KV Mechelen's compact .
- 89' Jules Van Cleemput is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for KV Mechelen tonight.
- 90' Poor challenge from Helio Varela. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
KAA Gent Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 13
- 33
-
24
Sven Kums ↓ Atsuki Ito 61'
- 4
- 12
- 16
-
21
Max Dean ↓ Andri Gudjohnsen 69'
- 3
-
6
Omri Gandelman ↓ Pieter Gerkens 70'
-
19
Franck Surdez ↓ Helio Varela 79'
Bench
-
23
Jordan Torunarigha ↑ 79'
- 1
- 25
- 18
-
15
Atsuki Ito ↑ 61'
- 11
-
9
Andri Gudjohnsen ↑ 69'
-
29
Helio Varela ↑ 79'
-
8
Pieter Gerkens ↑ 70'
Coach
Wouter Vrancken
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 23
- 1
- 19
- 77
- 2
- 16
-
11
Nikola Storm ↓ Petter Dahl 71'
- 4
-
3
Jose Marsa ↓ Ahmed Touba 46'
- 32
Bench
- 14
- 7
- 15
- 29
-
6
Ahmed Touba ↑ 46'
- 35
-
10
Petter Dahl ↑ 71'
-
17
Rafik Belghali ↑ 46'
- 36
Coach
Besnik Hasi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matisse Samoise | 3 |
| Nurio Fortuna | 2 |
| Laurent Depoitre | 2 |
| Benito Raman | 2 |
| Roman Yaremchuk | 2 |
| Bill Antonio | 2 |
| Jonathan David | 2 |
| Franck Gniangbo | 2 |
Head to Head
KAA Gent Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67
KAA Gent xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: KAA Gent win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
KAA Gent or Draw
79%
Draw or KV Mechelen
47%
KAA Gent or KV Mechelen
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: KAA Gent win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — KAA Gent
| Handicap | KAA Gent covers | Push | KV Mechelen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
KAA Gent keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

