KRC Genk vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
KRC Genk vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Cegeka Arena.
- KRC Genk 30 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jasper Vergoote
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 30 | 66 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 30 | 57 |
| 4 | KAA Gent | 30 | 45 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 30 | 45 |
| 6 | RSC Anderlecht | 30 | 44 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 30 | 42 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liege | 30 | 40 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 30 | 39 |
| 10 | Royal Antwerp FC | 30 | 35 |
| 11 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 30 | 34 |
| 12 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 30 | 34 |
| 13 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 30 | 32 |
| 14 | UR La Louviere Centre | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 30 | 31 |
| 16 | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | 30 | 19 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | KV Mechelen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Verbroedering Dender EH | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | RSC Anderlecht | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Cercle Brugge KSV | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | KVC Westerlo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Beerschot VA | A | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | KRC Genk | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Cercle Brugge KSV | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | KAA Gent | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | H | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | Royal Antwerp FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| KRC Genk | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 42 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 11 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 46 | Scored | 39 |
| 47 | Conceded | 37 |
| -1 | GD | +2 |
| 1.40 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 37% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
KRC Genk are 7th (42 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for KRC Genk to score. At the same time, KV Mechelen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kerim Mrabti suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' KRC Genk are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' KV Mechelen is showing some good football. However, KV Mechelen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' KRC Genk are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KV Mechelen's shape.
- 25' KRC Genk started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' It looks surprising KRC Genk does not make any changes. Hendrik Van Crombrugge has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' Aziz Ouattara is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
- 36' It is a substitution in KV Mechelen team. Benito Raman is replaced by Lion Lauberbach on 36 minute.
- 41' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Matte Smets is replacing Carlos Cuesta for the KRC Genk side.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Patrick Pflucke is booked for KV Mechelen — card on 45.
- 46' The whistle greets Bas Van den Eynden as he departs to be replaced by Rafik Belghali.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mujaid Sadick on 57.
- 59' Another substitution for KRC Genk to replace Konstantinos Karetsas by Nikolas Sattlberger on 59 minute.
- 60' A stunning finish from Kerim Mrabti — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 65' Both keepers have barely been tested. KRC Genk and KV Mechelen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 67' Geoffry Hairemans is replacing Nikola Storm for the KV Mechelen side.
- 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 76' What composure from Hyun-Gyu Oh! The South Korea international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 81' Another change for KV Mechelen made on 81 minute. Kerim Mrabti leaves to be changed by Bilal Bafdili.
- 86' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 87' Poor challenge from Rafik Belghali. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 88' Noah Adedeji gets the nod from KRC Genk. He replaces Yira Sor and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' KRC Genk player sees a card in front of him.
- KRC Genk celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
KRC Genk Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 17
- 8
- 1
-
46
Carlos Cuesta ↓ Matte Smets 42'
- 99
- 3
-
14
Yira Sor ↓ Noah Adedeji 88'
- 23
- 77
- 20
Bench
- 27
- 39
-
9
Hyun-Gyu Oh ↑ 59'
-
6
Matte Smets ↑ 42'
-
24
Nikolas Sattlberger ↑ 59'
- 44
- 21
-
7
Christopher Bonsu Baah ↑ 59'
-
32
Noah Adedeji ↑ 88'
Coach
Thorsten Fink
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Benito Raman ↓ Lion Lauberbach 36'
- 1
-
19
Kerim Mrabti ↓ Bilal Bafdili 81'
- 77
- 16
- 11
- 4
- 29
- 6
- 3
- 32
Bench
-
20
Lion Lauberbach ↑ 36'
-
7
Geoffry Hairemans ↑ 67'
- 15
-
35
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 81'
- 10
-
17
Rafik Belghali ↑ 46'
- 39
- 36
- 33
Coach
Besnik Hasi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paul Onuachu | 3 |
| Hyun-Gyu Oh | 2 |
| Rob Schoofs | 2 |
| Bryan Heynen | 2 |
| Kerim Mrabti | 2 |
| Nikola Storm | 2 |
| Theo Bongonda | 1 |
| Anouar Ait El Hadj | 1 |
Head to Head
KRC Genk Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.95
KRC Genk xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + KRC Genk to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: KRC Genk win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
KRC Genk or Draw
81%
Draw or KV Mechelen
42%
KRC Genk or KV Mechelen
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — KRC Genk
| Handicap | KRC Genk covers | Push | KV Mechelen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
KRC Genk keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.