Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Jupiler Pro League · 2022-23

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4 – 1

Full Time

KV Mechelen

Sat 8 Apr 2023 · 14:00 UTC King Power at Den Dreef HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 43' Rob Schoofs

Federico Ricca 81' Y

Y 84' Alessio Da Cruz

Y 90' Jannes Van Hecke

Overview

Match Preview

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at King Power at Den Dreef.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	30	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	63
3	K. Sint-Truidense VV	30	57
4	KAA Gent	30	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	45
6	RSC Anderlecht	30	44
7	KRC Genk	30	42
8	Royal Standard de Liege	30	40
9	KVC Westerlo	30	39
10	Royal Antwerp FC	30	35
11	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	30	34
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	34
13	SV Zulte-Waregem	30	32
14	UR La Louviere Centre	30	31
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	31
16	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	30	19

Head-to-Head

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals KV Mechelen

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–1 KV Mechelen 2022-09-17 KV Mechelen 0–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2021-09-18 KV Mechelen 2–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2021-03-21 KV Mechelen 2–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2020-12-20 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–2 KV Mechelen

Recent Form

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	KV Mechelen	H	4–1	W
02 Apr	KRC Genk	A	1–2	L
19 Mar	RSC Anderlecht	H	0–2	L
10 Mar	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	A	1–0	W
04 Mar	SV Zulte-Waregem	H	4–2	W
26 Feb	Royal Antwerp FC	H	1–1	D

KV Mechelen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	A	1–4	L
02 Apr	Club Brugge KV	H	0–3	L
19 Mar	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	A	1–2	L
11 Mar	K. Sint-Truidense VV	H	1–0	W
05 Mar	Royal Antwerp FC	A	0–5	L
25 Feb	FC Seraing	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

Oud-Heverlee Leuven		KV Mechelen
#12	Position	#5
34	Points	45
30	Played	30
9 / 7 / 14	W / D / L	12 / 9 / 9
32	Scored	39
43	Conceded	37
-11	GD	+2
1.13	PPG	1.50
30%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 12th (34 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Oud-Heverlee Leuven launch into their encounter with KV Mechelen.
4' Brilliant from the ! Casper De Norre makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 4.
9' Oud-Heverlee Leuven is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jon Dagur THorsteinsson, as he is very good at scoring at King Power at Den Dreef with 9 goals in the last 6 games.
19' It looks like no one’s ball. Oud-Heverlee Leuven is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
24' KV Mechelen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
34' Richie Sagrado is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for KV Mechelen tonight.
35' The whistle greets Kerim Mrabti as he departs to be replaced by Dimitri Lavalee.
39' Nathaniel Opoku doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
40' Nathaniel Opoku doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
43' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Rob Schoofs.
48' KV Mechelen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
54' A change in the Yellow-Red KV Mechelen ranks — Boli Bolingoli exits the field as Alessio Da Cruz enters on 54.
56' A goal from the Belgium international Mathieu Maertens! He fires home on 56 to make it 4-0!
57' What a moment for Mathieu Maertens! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
60' Mousa Ta'mari adds to his 0 season tally! Oud-Heverlee Leuven lead 6-0 — and this changes everything.
61' Magnificent from Mousa Ta'mari! That is 11 goals in 149 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
62' Time for substitution for Yellow-Red KV Mechelen. Yonas Malede is replaced by Julien Ngoy.
67' Belgium international Louis Patris has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
70' Time for substitution for Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Jon Dagur THorsteinsson is replaced by Emmanuel Toku.
75' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
76' A tactical swap from Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Joren Dom on, Siebe Schrijvers off on 76 minutes.
81' The referee has no hesitation. Federico Ricca is booked for Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Yellow card on 81.
84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alessio Da Cruz on 84.
85' A tactical swap from Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Thibault Vlietinck on, Mousa Ta'mari off on 85 minutes.
89' Geoffry Hairemans makes no mistake. The score reads 7-1 and Yellow-Red KV Mechelen are in front.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Jannes Van Hecke argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Oud-Heverlee Leuven take all three points.

Lineups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lineups

Starting XI

8
Siebe Schrijvers ↓ Joren Dom 76'
14
Federico Ricca
12
Valentin Cojocaru
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
24
Casper De Norre
11
Mousa Ta'mari ↓ Thibault Vlietinck 85'
7
Jon Dagur THorsteinsson ↓ Emmanuel Toku 70'
33
Mathieu Maertens
25
Louis Patris
52
Richie Sagrado ↓ Hamza Mendyl 70'
21
Nathaniel Opoku

Bench

Coach Marc Brys

KV Mechelen Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

27
David Bates ↑ 62'
22
Alessio Da Cruz ↑ 54'
2
Iebe Swers
15
Yannick Thoelen
14
Dimitri Lavalee ↑ 35'
9
Julien Ngoy ↑ 62'
35
Bilal Bafdili

Coach Steven Defour

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Casper De Norre	2
Mousa Ta'mari	2
Mathieu Maertens	2
Kerim Mrabti	2
Nathaniel Opoku	2
Siebe Schrijvers	1
Lion Lauberbach	1
Rob Schoofs	1

Head to Head

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Form

2023-04-08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–1 KV Mechelen W 2023-04-02 KRC Genk 2–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2023-03-19 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–2 RSC Anderlecht L 2023-03-10 Sporting du Pays de Charleroi 0–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven W 2023-03-04 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–2 SV Zulte-Waregem W 2023-02-26 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–1 Royal Antwerp FC D

KV Mechelen Form

2023-04-08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–1 KV Mechelen L 2023-04-02 KV Mechelen 0–3 Club Brugge KV L 2023-03-19 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2–1 KV Mechelen L 2023-03-11 KV Mechelen 1–0 K. Sint-Truidense VV W 2023-03-05 Royal Antwerp FC 5–0 KV Mechelen L 2023-02-25 FC Seraing 0–2 KV Mechelen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.72 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.35 KV Mechelen xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oud-Heverlee Leuven48% Draw25% KV Mechelen27%

Actual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.07

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw

73%

Draw or KV Mechelen

52%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or KV Mechelen

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oud-Heverlee Leuven33% Draw44% KV Mechelen23%

Actual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.7%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

2 – 0

6.8%

0 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

0 – 1

5.4%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Handicap	Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers	Push	KV Mechelen covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	20%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.