Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Jupiler Pro League · 2023-24

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

1 – 0

Full Time

KV Mechelen

Sun 17 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Den Dreef HT 45' · FT 45'

Federico Ricca 51' Y

Ezechiel Banzuzi 62' Y

Youssef Maziz 76' Y

Y 79' David Bates

Ewoud Pletinckx 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Den Dreef.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jonathan Lardot

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	30	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	63
3	K. Sint-Truidense VV	30	57
4	KAA Gent	30	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	45
6	RSC Anderlecht	30	44
7	KRC Genk	30	42
8	Royal Standard de Liege	30	40
9	KVC Westerlo	30	39
10	Royal Antwerp FC	30	35
11	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	30	34
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	34
13	SV Zulte-Waregem	30	32
14	UR La Louviere Centre	30	31
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	31
16	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	30	19

Head-to-Head

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals KV Mechelen

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen 2023-09-23 KV Mechelen 1–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2023-04-08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–1 KV Mechelen 2022-09-17 KV Mechelen 0–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2021-09-18 KV Mechelen 2–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Recent Form

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	KV Mechelen	H	1–0	W
10 Mar	Club Brugge KV	A	1–3	L
02 Mar	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	H	0–2	L
24 Feb	RWDM Molenbeek FC	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	H	0–0	D
10 Feb	Royal Standard de Liege	A	0–1	L

KV Mechelen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	A	0–1	L
08 Mar	KVC Westerlo	H	3–1	W
02 Mar	Cercle Brugge KSV	A	3–2	W
24 Feb	KV Kortrijk	H	3–0	W
17 Feb	Royal Antwerp FC	A	1–0	W
11 Feb	KRC Genk	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Oud-Heverlee Leuven		KV Mechelen
#12	Position	#5
34	Points	45
30	Played	30
9 / 7 / 14	W / D / L	12 / 9 / 9
32	Scored	39
43	Conceded	37
-11	GD	+2
1.13	PPG	1.50
30%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 12th (34 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. KV Mechelen get us underway at Den Dreef.
5' Ewoud Pletinckx needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
10' Oud-Heverlee Leuven are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against KV Mechelen's shape.
15' KV Mechelen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
25' KV Mechelen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
30' Oud-Heverlee Leuven are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
35' Richie Sagrado has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
40' It looks surprising Oud-Heverlee Leuven does not make any changes. Hamza Mendyl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ezechiel Banzuzi suffering a number of foals already.
50' It’s high time Óscar García made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
51' Oud-Heverlee Leuven receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
56' KV Mechelen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
61' Oud-Heverlee Leuven ring the changes. Jonatan Braut Brunes has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Opoku to step up.
62' It’s a booking for Oud-Heverlee Leuven player. Ezechiel Banzuzi gets a card.
67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
68' KV Mechelen make a change. Geoffry Hairemans trudges off to be replaced by Norman Bassette on 68 minutes.
69' Joren Dom is replacing Jon Dagur THorsteinsson for the Oud-Heverlee Leuven side.
70' The supporters are chanting for Suphanat Mueanta. He replaces Ezechiel Banzuzi on 70 minute.
75' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
76' A moment of madness from Youssef Maziz on 76 minutes earns him a card. Oud-Heverlee Leuven will be frustrated.
79' KV Mechelen player sees a card in front of him.
82' Hamza Mendyl is ready to make an impact after coming on for Youssef Maziz at the 82 minute mark.
84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ewoud Pletinckx.
89' Youssef Maziz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for KV Mechelen tonight.
1-0 the final result. KV Mechelen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lineups

Starting XI

8
Siebe Schrijvers
14
Federico Ricca
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
7
Jon Dagur THorsteinsson ↓ Joren Dom 69'
88
Youssef Maziz ↓ Hamza Mendyl 82'
1
Tobe Leysen
9
Jonatan Braut Brunes ↓ Nathaniel Opoku 61'
30
Takahiro Akimoto
11
Ezechiel Banzuzi ↓ Suphanat Mueanta 70'
52
Richie Sagrado ↓ Nachon Nsingi 82'
23
Joel Schingtienne

Bench

Coach Óscar García

KV Mechelen Lineups

Starting XI

13
Islam Slimani ↓ Lion Lauberbach 68'
27
David Bates
23
Daam Foulon
22
Elias Cobbaut
7
Geoffry Hairemans ↓ Norman Bassette 68'
19
Kerim Mrabti
77
Patrick Pflucke
16
Rob Schoofs
1
Gaetan Coucke
34
Ngal'ayel Mukau ↓ Nikola Storm 68'
42
Munashe Garananga

Bench

Coach Besnik Hasi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Casper De Norre	2
Mousa Ta'mari	2
Mathieu Maertens	2
Kerim Mrabti	2
Nathaniel Opoku	2
Ferdy Druijf	1
Youssef Maziz	1
Aster Vranckx	1

Head to Head

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Form

2024-03-17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen W 2024-03-10 Club Brugge KV 3–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2024-03-02 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise L 2024-02-24 RWDM Molenbeek FC 1–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven D 2024-02-17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–0 Sporting du Pays de Charleroi D 2024-02-10 Royal Standard de Liege 1–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L

KV Mechelen Form

2024-03-17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen L 2024-03-08 KV Mechelen 3–1 KVC Westerlo W 2024-03-02 Cercle Brugge KSV 2–3 KV Mechelen W 2024-02-24 KV Mechelen 3–0 KV Kortrijk W 2024-02-17 Royal Antwerp FC 0–1 KV Mechelen W 2024-02-11 KV Mechelen 1–1 KRC Genk D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.14 KV Mechelen xG

I would bet for: Oud-Heverlee Leuven or KV Mechelen 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oud-Heverlee Leuven38% Draw30% KV Mechelen32%

Actual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw

68%

Draw or KV Mechelen

62%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or KV Mechelen

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Oud-Heverlee Leuven24% Draw52% KV Mechelen24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 0

12.9%

0 – 1

10.9%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 1

7.1%

0 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

4.2%

1 – 3

2.8%

3 – 1

2.6%

0 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Handicap	Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers	Push	KV Mechelen covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	20%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.