Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FC Bayern München | H | 1–6 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Alemannia Aachen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 6–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 18 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Holstein-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for Holstein Kiel and FC Bayern München.
- 1' Against the run of play, Jamal Musiala has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 6' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 7' Magnificent from Harry Kane! That is 274 goals in 385 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 12' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Holstein Kiel and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 13' GOAL! Nicolai Remberg scores on 13. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
- 18' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alphonso Davies made 276 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 23' Joao Palhinha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 28' Serge Gnabry has been relatively quiet despite scoring 105 goals in his last 540 appearances.
- 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Brilliant from the ! Harry Kane makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 43.
- 46' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Tymoteusz Puchacz comes on to replace Dominik Javorcek.
- 51' Germany international Joshua Kimmich has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 7 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern München that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
- 61' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Raphael Guerreiro has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 64' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Sacha Boey is replaced by Konrad Laimer on 64 minute.
- 65' The deadlock is broken! Michael Olise gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
- 70' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 75' Finn Porath needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
- 76' Armin Gigovic gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Lewis Holtby and will look to change the dynamic.
- 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joao Palhinha.
- 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Armin Gigovic makes it 2-4.
- 87' Dominik Javorcek is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- Full Time. FC Bayern München beats Holstein Kiel
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Armin Gigovic 76'
-
4
Patrick Erras ↓ Max Geschwill 46'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 64'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 76'
- 9
- 17
- 33
- 22
- 5
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 64'
- 15
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 46'
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 76'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
- 19
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 76'
- 6
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Michael Olise 46'
- 1
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Mathys Tel 76'
- 22
- 2
- 16
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Konrad Laimer 64'
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 46'
- 3
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 46'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 64'
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 64'
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 76'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
| Hauke Finn Wahl | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Bayern München
78%
Holstein Kiel or FC Bayern München
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–6 not predicted1 – 6Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 4
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 20% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.