Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
1 – 6
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Sat 14 Sep 2024 · 16:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Jamal Musiala
0–2 7' Harry Kane
0–3 13' Nicolai Remberg og
0–4 43' Harry Kane
0–5 65' Michael Olise
Armin Gigovic 82' 1–5
1–6 90+1' Harry Kane pen
Y 81' Joao Palhinha

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
2
Holstein Kiel 3 games · Avg 6.0 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern München 2021-01-13 Holstein Kiel 2–2 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep FC Bayern München H 1–6 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg H 0–2 L
24 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–3 L
17 Aug Alemannia Aachen A 3–2 W
19 May Hannover 96 A 2–1 W
11 May TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–1 D
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Holstein Kiel A 6–1 W
01 Sep SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
25 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
16 Aug SSV Ulm 1846 A 4–0 W
18 May TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–4 L
12 May VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FC Bayern München kicks off things out of here…
  • 1' GOAL! Jamal Musiala scores on 1. Assisted by Harry Kane
  • 6' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 7' What a strike from Harry Kane! The score is 0-2.
  • 12' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 13' GOAL! Nicolai Remberg scores on 13. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
  • 18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 23' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dominik Javorcek, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Kingsley Coman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 53 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 38' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 43' Harry Kane with the second goal in the match!
  • 46' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Dominik Javorcek by Tymoteusz Puchacz on 46 minute.
  • 51' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' Konrad Laimer is replacing Sacha Boey for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 65' Goal! Michael Olise scores his 50 goal in 379 matches.
  • 70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 75' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Sacha Boey has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 76' The whistle greets Lewis Holtby as he departs to be replaced by Armin Gigovic.
  • 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joao Palhinha on 81.
  • 82' Goal! Armin Gigovic scores his 7 goal in 364 matches.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dayot Upamecano suffering a number of foals already.
  • With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Harry Kane 5
Serge Gnabry 2
Jamal Musiala 2
Armin Gigovic 1
Steven Skrzybski 1
Finn Porath 1
Leroy Sane 1
Fin Bartels 1

Head to Head

2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern München 2021-01-13 Holstein Kiel 2–2 FC Bayern München

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern München L 2024-08-31 Holstein Kiel 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2024-08-24 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Holstein Kiel L 2024-08-17 Alemannia Aachen 2–3 Holstein Kiel W 2024-05-19 Hannover 96 1–2 Holstein Kiel W 2024-05-11 Holstein Kiel 1–1 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf D

FC Bayern München Form

2024-09-14 Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern München W 2024-09-01 FC Bayern München 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2024-08-25 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2024-08-16 SSV Ulm 1846 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2024-05-18 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–2 FC Bayern München L 2024-05-12 FC Bayern München 2–0 VfL Wolfsburg W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel22% Draw22% FC Bayern München56%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Bayern München
78%
Holstein Kiel or FC Bayern München
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel17% Draw36% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–6 not predicted
1 – 6
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 4
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 20% 42%
+1.5 58% — 42%
+2 58% 18% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.