Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 10.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FC Bayern München | H | 1–6 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Alemannia Aachen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 6–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 18 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Holstein-Stadion that hosts another battle between Holstein Kiel and FC Bayern Munchen.
- 1' The deadlock is broken! Jamal Musiala gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
- 6' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 7' Assisted by Serge Gnabry with the perfectly-timed delivery and Harry Kane makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 12' Over 12 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 13' A goal from the Germany international Nicolai Remberg! He fires home on 13 to make it 1-2!
- 18' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 18.
- 23' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' Holstein Kiel are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern Munchen backline.
- 38' Konrad Laimer, a Austria , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 43' What a strike from Harry Kane! The score is 1-3.
- 46' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Dominik Javorcek is replaced by Tymoteusz Puchacz on 46 minute.
- 51' It looks surprising FC Bayern Munchen does not make any changes. Timo Becker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 56' Dayot Upamecano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 523 appearances.
- 61' FC Bayern Munchen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 64' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Sacha Boey is replaced by Konrad Laimer.
- 65' The deadlock is broken! Michael Olise gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 286 games and scored 180 goals.
- 75' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 76' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Lewis Holtby is replaced by Armin Gigovic.
- 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joao Palhinha on 81.
- 82' The Bosnia-Herzegovina Armin Gigovic breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 2-4!
- 87' Carl Johansson is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern Munchen tonight.
- The points are shared — Holstein Kiel 1-6 FC Bayern Munchen. Honours even.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Armin Gigovic 76'
-
4
Patrick Erras ↓ Max Geschwill 46'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 64'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 76'
- 9
- 17
- 33
- 22
- 5
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 64'
- 15
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 46'
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 76'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
- 19
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 76'
- 6
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Michael Olise 46'
- 1
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Mathys Tel 76'
- 22
- 2
- 16
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Konrad Laimer 64'
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 46'
- 3
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 46'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 64'
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 64'
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 76'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Bayern München
78%
Holstein Kiel or FC Bayern München
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–6 not predicted1 – 6Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 4
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 20% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.