Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs FC Bayern Munchen — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern Munchen 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
- Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
- Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FC Bayern München | H | 1–6 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Alemannia Aachen | A | 3–2 | W |
| 19 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 May | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 6–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | SC Freiburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 18 May | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Holstein Kiel have kicked off against FC Bayern Munchen. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 1' The deadlock is broken! Jamal Musiala gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
- 6' FC Bayern Munchen is showing some good football. However, FC Bayern Munchen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 7' GOAL! Harry Kane scores on 7. Assisted by Serge Gnabry
- 12' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shuto Machino made 309 appearances and scored 49 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 13' Nicolai Remberg doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Magnus Knudsen, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 23' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Michael Olise has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 19 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' Alphonso Davies has been relatively quiet despite scoring 32 goals in his last 287 appearances.
- 43' Harry Kane adds to his 18 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Dominik Javorcek exits the field as Tymoteusz Puchacz enters on 46.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lewis Holtby suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' The 27-year-old Timon Weiner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 64' A tactical swap from FC Bayern Munchen — Konrad Laimer on, Sacha Boey off on 64 minutes.
- 65' A goal from the France international Michael Olise! He fires home on 65 to make it 1-4!
- 70' Holstein Kiel have won 180 goals from 284 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 75' Holstein Kiel currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 76' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Armin Gigovic is hanging Lewis Holtby on the field on 76 minute.
- 81' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Joao Palhinha will be fuming at that decision.
- 82' Armin Gigovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 82 minutes.
- 87' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- The points are shared — Holstein Kiel 1-6 FC Bayern Munchen. Honours even.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Armin Gigovic 76'
-
4
Patrick Erras ↓ Max Geschwill 46'
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 64'
- 1
- 24
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 76'
- 9
- 17
- 33
- 22
- 5
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 64'
- 15
-
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz ↑ 46'
- 21
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 76'
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
- 19
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 76'
- 6
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Michael Olise 46'
- 1
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Mathys Tel 76'
- 22
- 2
- 16
-
23
Sacha Boey ↓ Konrad Laimer 64'
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 46'
- 3
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 26
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 46'
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↑ 64'
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 64'
-
17
Michael Olise ↑ 46'
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 76'
- 45
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
| Hauke Finn Wahl | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.3
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.54
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
43%
Draw or FC Bayern München
78%
Holstein Kiel or FC Bayern München
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–6 not predicted1 – 6Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 1
4.6%
0 – 4
3.6%
0 – 0
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 20% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.