Saturday , 14 November 2026

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 24 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
8 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Hertha BSC H 2–3 L
17 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–5 L
02 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 2–1 W
25 Aug FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
20 Aug 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–4 L
12 Aug FC Gutersloh A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Sep Holstein Kiel A 3–2 W
17 Sep Eintracht Braunschweig H 3–0 W
02 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg A 4–6 L
26 Aug SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 5–0 W
19 Aug Hamburger SV A 0–3 L
12 Aug FC Carl Zeiss Jena A 5–0 W

Season Stats

Holstein Kiel Hertha BSC
#18 Position #1
8 Points 31
11 Played 11
1 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 1 / 0
11 Scored 25
14 Conceded 9
-3 GD +16
0.73 PPG 2.82
9% Win % 91%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
36% Clean Sheets
Hertha BSC this season

Holstein Kiel are 18th (8 pts). Hertha BSC are 1st (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hertha BSC
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
3/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Hertha BSC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel30% Draw25% Hertha BSC45%
Actual: Hertha BSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
55%
Draw or Hertha BSC
70%
Holstein Kiel or Hertha BSC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel23% Draw40% Hertha BSC37%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 14% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 20% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.